ATP tennis predict — Thiago Seyboth Wild vs Matias Soto

Challenger Clay Antofagasta challenger · 1. round 15:00

Predicted probability

Thiago Seyboth Wild

Brazil

73.66%

Matias Soto

Chile

26.34%

Average Odds

1.18 / 3.86

Market probability

76.59% / 23.41%

Why This Prediction?

Thiago Seyboth Wild is the favorite because he has a higher Elo rating (1788 vs 1643), a higher Elo rating on clay courts (1800 vs 1658) and more wins on clay courts (150 vs 64).

Player Comparison

1787.8 Elo 1643.4

1800.1 Elo (surface) 1657.8

163 Wins (Challenger) 77

150 Wins (surface) 64

13 Last 15 form 8

0 Head-to-head wins 0

0.953 Dominance ratio 1.009

136 Rank 248

26.6 Age 27.4

right Hand right

Performance vs. the Odds

Career record grouped by how big a favorite the market made each player, based on their average odds.

Thiago Seyboth Wild

Heavy favorite (odds below 1.30) 8W–1L · 88.9%

Favorite (odds 1.30-1.80) 11W–2L · 84.6%

Even match (odds 1.80-2.20) 1W–1L · 50.0%

Underdog (odds 2.20-4.00) 1W–1L · 50.0%

Heavy underdog (odds above 4.00) 0W–0L · 0.0%

26 matches with market odds since 2026-06-25.

Matias Soto

Heavy favorite (odds below 1.30) 3W–1L · 75.0%

Favorite (odds 1.30-1.80) 2W–1L · 66.7%

Even match (odds 1.80-2.20) 1W–0L · 100.0%

Underdog (odds 2.20-4.00) 3W–5L · 37.5%

Heavy underdog (odds above 4.00) 0W–1L · 0.0%

17 matches with market odds since 2026-06-22.

Serve & Return

Serve and return win rates from each player's last 10 matches at the selected level.

Thiago Seyboth Wild Matias Soto

1st Serve In %

64.4%

59.9%

1st Serve Points Won %

70.9%

66.3%

2nd Serve Points Won %

54.5%

46.8%

Return Points Won vs 1st Serve %

23.3%

26.2%

Return Points Won vs 2nd Serve %

49.4%

44.2%

Aces per Service Game

0.53

0.29

Double Faults per Service Game

0.18

0.29

Based on each player's last 10 ATP/Grand Slam matches.

1st Serve In %

61.8%

56.4%

1st Serve Points Won %

71.4%

72.6%

2nd Serve Points Won %

55.1%

51.9%

Return Points Won vs 1st Serve %

30.5%

23.9%

Return Points Won vs 2nd Serve %

42.3%

57.5%

Aces per Service Game

0.56

0.43

Double Faults per Service Game

0.18

0.29

Based on each player's last 10 Challenger matches.

Break Point Performance

How each player handles the biggest points - break points saved serving, and converted returning - from their last 10 matches at the selected level.

Thiago Seyboth Wild Matias Soto

Break Points Saved %

59.1%

51.9%

Break Points Converted %

33.3%

55.6%

Based on each player's last 10 ATP/Grand Slam matches.

Break Points Saved %

61.0%

61.8%

Break Points Converted %

29.9%

41.8%

Based on each player's last 10 Challenger matches.

Head-to-Head

Thiago Seyboth Wild and Matias Soto have never played each other.

Thiago Seyboth Wild vs Matias Soto — Prediction

Why This Prediction?

Player Comparison

Performance vs. the Odds

Serve & Return

Break Point Performance

Head-to-Head

Thiago Seyboth Wild — Last 10

Matias Soto — Last 10