ATP tennis predict — Thiago Seyboth Wild vs Mateus Alves

Challenger Clay Santa Cruz De La Sierra challenger · 1. round 00:30

Predicted probability

Thiago Seyboth Wild

Brazil

88.07%

Mateus Alves

Brazil

11.93%

Average Odds

1.25 / 3.40

Market probability

73.12% / 26.88%

Why This Prediction?

Thiago Seyboth Wild is the favorite because he has a higher Elo rating (1802 vs 1485), a higher Elo rating on clay courts (1817 vs 1526) and more wins on clay courts (154 vs 79).

Player Comparison

1801.7 Elo 1484.6

1816.5 Elo (surface) 1526.1

167 Wins (Challenger) 85

154 Wins (surface) 79

12 Last 15 form 4

2 Head-to-head wins 0

0.953 Dominance ratio 0.920

136 Rank 385

26.6 Age 25.7

right Hand right

Performance vs. the Odds

Career record grouped by how big a favorite the market made each player, based on their average odds.

Thiago Seyboth Wild

Heavy favorite (odds below 1.30) 10W–1L · 90.9%

Favorite (odds 1.30-1.80) 13W–3L · 81.2%

Even match (odds 1.80-2.20) 1W–1L · 50.0%

Underdog (odds 2.20-4.00) 1W–1L · 50.0%

Heavy underdog (odds above 4.00) 0W–0L · 0.0%

31 matches with market odds since 2026-06-25.

Mateus Alves

Heavy favorite (odds below 1.30) 0W–0L · 0.0%

Favorite (odds 1.30-1.80) 0W–0L · 0.0%

Even match (odds 1.80-2.20) 0W–0L · 0.0%

Underdog (odds 2.20-4.00) 0W–0L · 0.0%

Heavy underdog (odds above 4.00) 0W–0L · 0.0%

No market odds recorded for this player yet.

Serve & Return

Serve and return win rates from each player's last 10 matches at the selected level.

Thiago Seyboth Wild Mateus Alves

1st Serve In %

64.4%

63.5%

1st Serve Points Won %

70.9%

67.4%

2nd Serve Points Won %

54.5%

42.3%

Return Points Won vs 1st Serve %

23.3%

20.0%

Return Points Won vs 2nd Serve %

49.4%

45.1%

Aces per Service Game

0.53

0.45

Double Faults per Service Game

0.18

0.24

Based on each player's last 10 ATP/Grand Slam matches.

1st Serve In %

50.9%

59.1%

1st Serve Points Won %

78.6%

70.1%

2nd Serve Points Won %

66.7%

42.6%

Return Points Won vs 1st Serve %

40.9%

29.3%

Return Points Won vs 2nd Serve %

50.0%

49.1%

Aces per Service Game

0.50

0.35

Double Faults per Service Game

0.18

0.36

Based on each player's last 10 Challenger matches.

Break Point Performance

How each player handles the biggest points - break points saved serving, and converted returning - from their last 10 matches at the selected level.

Thiago Seyboth Wild Mateus Alves

Break Points Saved %

59.1%

58.6%

Break Points Converted %

33.3%

30.0%

Based on each player's last 10 ATP/Grand Slam matches.

Break Points Saved %

38.5%

64.8%

Break Points Converted %

37.3%

31.1%

Based on each player's last 10 Challenger matches.

Head-to-Head

Thiago Seyboth Wild 2 – 0 Mateus Alves

Clay Coquimbo CH · 2023-05-01

QF

Thiago Seyboth Wild #226

Mateus Alves #577

6-1 6-2

6 Aces 3

2 Double Faults 2

50 Service Points 52

32 First Serve In 34

27 First Serve Won 17

8 Second Serve Won 8

2 Break Points Saved 6

2 Break Points Faced 10

- Winners -

- Unforced Errors -

- Average Odds -

Clay Santiago CH · 2023-03-06

Q1

Thiago Seyboth Wild #400

Mateus Alves #555

6-3 3-6 6-2

7 Aces 4

1 Double Faults 4

75 Service Points 103

54 First Serve In 69

38 First Serve Won 45

11 Second Serve Won 11

3 Break Points Saved 5

6 Break Points Faced 10