ATP tennis predict — Thiago Seyboth Wild vs Matej Dodig

Challenger Clay Genoa challenger · SF 20:00

Predicted probability

Thiago Seyboth Wild

Brazil

43.66%

Matej Dodig

Croatia

56.34%

Average Odds

1.81 / 1.92

Market probability

51.47% / 48.53%

Why This Prediction?

Matej Dodig is the favorite because he has a higher Elo rating on clay courts (1825 vs 1776) and a higher Elo rating (1829 vs 1765).

Player Comparison

1764.7 Elo 1828.7

1775.6 Elo (surface) 1824.8

161 Wins (Challenger) 85

148 Wins (surface) 65

12 Last 15 form 13

0 Head-to-head wins 0

0.953 Dominance ratio 0.845

198 Rank 254

26.5 Age 21.2

right Hand right

Performance vs. the Odds

Career record grouped by how big a favorite the market made each player, based on their average odds.

Thiago Seyboth Wild

Heavy favorite (odds below 1.30) 8W–1L · 88.9%

Favorite (odds 1.30-1.80) 11W–2L · 84.6%

Even match (odds 1.80-2.20) 1W–1L · 50.0%

Underdog (odds 2.20-4.00) 1W–1L · 50.0%

Heavy underdog (odds above 4.00) 0W–0L · 0.0%

26 matches with market odds since 2026-06-25.

Matej Dodig

Heavy favorite (odds below 1.30) 4W–0L · 100.0%

Favorite (odds 1.30-1.80) 10W–3L · 76.9%

Even match (odds 1.80-2.20) 5W–1L · 83.3%

Underdog (odds 2.20-4.00) 1W–4L · 20.0%

Heavy underdog (odds above 4.00) 0W–0L · 0.0%

28 matches with market odds since 2026-06-01.

Serve & Return

Serve and return win rates from each player's last 10 matches at the selected level.

Thiago Seyboth Wild Matej Dodig

1st Serve In %

64.4%

65.9%

1st Serve Points Won %

70.9%

70.5%

2nd Serve Points Won %

54.5%

45.1%

Return Points Won vs 1st Serve %

23.3%

27.2%

Return Points Won vs 2nd Serve %

49.4%

43.9%

Aces per Service Game

0.53

0.34

Double Faults per Service Game

0.18

0.23

Based on each player's last 10 ATP/Grand Slam matches.

1st Serve In %

61.8%

64.5%

1st Serve Points Won %

71.4%

73.0%

2nd Serve Points Won %

55.1%

51.5%

Return Points Won vs 1st Serve %

30.5%

24.0%

Return Points Won vs 2nd Serve %

42.3%

46.7%

Aces per Service Game

0.56

0.46

Double Faults per Service Game

0.18

0.14

Based on each player's last 10 Challenger matches.

Break Point Performance

How each player handles the biggest points - break points saved serving, and converted returning - from their last 10 matches at the selected level.

Thiago Seyboth Wild Matej Dodig

Break Points Saved %

59.1%

61.7%

Break Points Converted %

33.3%

31.7%

Based on each player's last 10 ATP/Grand Slam matches.

Break Points Saved %

61.0%

55.6%

Break Points Converted %

29.9%

46.2%

Based on each player's last 10 Challenger matches.

Head-to-Head

Thiago Seyboth Wild 0 – 0 Matej Dodig

Clay Genoa challenger · 2026-09-12

SF

Thiago Seyboth Wild #198

Matej Dodig #254

7-5 4-6 6-2

8 Aces 4

4 Double Faults 1

- Service Points -

- First Serve In -

45 First Serve Won 47

20 Second Serve Won 15

1 Break Points Saved 7

2 Break Points Faced 10

- Winners -

- Unforced Errors -

1.8 Average Odds 1.9

Thiago Seyboth Wild vs Matej Dodig — Prediction