ATP tennis predict — Thiago Seyboth Wild vs Mackenzie Mcdonald

Grand Slam Hard US Open · qualification - 2. round 20:00

Predicted probability

Thiago Seyboth Wild

Brazil

44.78%

Mackenzie Mcdonald

USA

55.22%

Average Odds

2.39 / 1.54

Market probability

39.19% / 60.81%

Why This Prediction?

Mackenzie Mcdonald is the favorite because he has a higher Elo rating on hard courts (1595 vs 1555), more wins on hard courts (118 vs 13) and a stronger return game (36.2% vs 34.2% of return points won).

Player Comparison

1726.0 Elo 1594.6

1554.5 Elo (surface) 1595.1

73 Wins 181

26 Wins (surface) 129

6 Last 15 form 6

0 Head-to-head wins 0

0.921 Dominance ratio 1.047

198 Rank 146

26.5 Age 31.4

right Hand right

Performance vs. the Odds

Career record grouped by how big a favorite the market made each player, based on their average odds.

Thiago Seyboth Wild

Heavy favorite (odds below 1.30) 8W–1L · 88.9%

Favorite (odds 1.30-1.80) 11W–2L · 84.6%

Even match (odds 1.80-2.20) 1W–1L · 50.0%

Underdog (odds 2.20-4.00) 1W–1L · 50.0%

Heavy underdog (odds above 4.00) 0W–0L · 0.0%

26 matches with market odds since 2026-06-25.

Mackenzie Mcdonald

Heavy favorite (odds below 1.30) 2W–1L · 66.7%

Favorite (odds 1.30-1.80) 3W–3L · 50.0%

Even match (odds 1.80-2.20) 1W–2L · 33.3%

Underdog (odds 2.20-4.00) 1W–4L · 20.0%

Heavy underdog (odds above 4.00) 0W–0L · 0.0%

17 matches with market odds since 2026-06-02.

Serve & Return

Serve and return win rates from each player's last 10 matches at the selected level.

Thiago Seyboth Wild Mackenzie Mcdonald

1st Serve In %

64.4%

63.7%

1st Serve Points Won %

70.9%

66.5%

2nd Serve Points Won %

54.5%

56.4%

Return Points Won vs 1st Serve %

23.3%

28.0%

Return Points Won vs 2nd Serve %

49.4%

47.3%

Aces per Service Game

0.53

0.57

Double Faults per Service Game

0.18

0.29

Based on each player's last 10 ATP/Grand Slam matches.

1st Serve In %

61.8%

64.2%

1st Serve Points Won %

71.4%

65.9%

2nd Serve Points Won %

55.1%

51.6%

Return Points Won vs 1st Serve %

30.5%

32.4%

Return Points Won vs 2nd Serve %

42.3%

50.9%

Aces per Service Game

0.56

0.32

Double Faults per Service Game

0.18

0.23

Based on each player's last 10 Challenger matches.

Break Point Performance

How each player handles the biggest points - break points saved serving, and converted returning - from their last 10 matches at the selected level.

Thiago Seyboth Wild Mackenzie Mcdonald

Break Points Saved %

59.1%

60.0%

Break Points Converted %

33.3%

35.8%

Based on each player's last 10 ATP/Grand Slam matches.

Break Points Saved %

61.0%

54.8%

Break Points Converted %

29.9%

42.6%

Based on each player's last 10 Challenger matches.

Head-to-Head

Thiago Seyboth Wild 0 – 0 Mackenzie Mcdonald

Hard US Open · 2026-08-26

qualification - 2. round

Mackenzie Mcdonald #146

Thiago Seyboth Wild #198

6-4 6-4

9 Aces 7

2 Double Faults 3

59 Service Points 59

35 First Serve In 34

26 First Serve Won 29

9 Second Serve Won 11

3 Break Points Saved 3

6 Break Points Faced 4

26 Winners 20

22 Unforced Errors 13

1.5 Average Odds 2.4

Thiago Seyboth Wild vs Mackenzie Mcdonald — Prediction