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Thiago Seyboth Wild vs Joao Lucas Reis Da Silva — Prediction

Challenger Clay Antofagasta challenger · F 17:00

Predicted probability

Thiago Seyboth Wild

Brazil

67.93%

Joao Lucas Reis Da Silva

Brazil

32.07%

Average Odds

1.30  /  3.26

Market probability

71.49%  /  28.51%

Why This Prediction?

Thiago Seyboth Wild is the favorite because he has a higher Elo rating on clay courts (1832 vs 1742), a higher Elo rating (1815 vs 1723) and more wins on clay courts (154 vs 130).

Player Comparison

1815.4 Elo 1722.8
1831.6 Elo (surface) 1741.7
167 Wins (Challenger) 138
154 Wins (surface) 130
13 Last 15 form 9
3 Head-to-head wins 0
0.953 Dominance ratio 0.886
136 Rank 230
26.6 Age 26.5
right Hand right

Performance vs. the Odds

Career record grouped by how big a favorite the market made each player, based on their average odds.

Thiago Seyboth Wild

Heavy favorite (odds below 1.30) 10W–1L · 90.9%
Favorite (odds 1.30-1.80) 13W–2L · 86.7%
Even match (odds 1.80-2.20) 1W–1L · 50.0%
Underdog (odds 2.20-4.00) 1W–1L · 50.0%
Heavy underdog (odds above 4.00) 0W–0L · 0.0%

30 matches with market odds since 2026-06-25.

Joao Lucas Reis Da Silva

Heavy favorite (odds below 1.30) 3W–0L · 100.0%
Favorite (odds 1.30-1.80) 3W–2L · 60.0%
Even match (odds 1.80-2.20) 2W–1L · 66.7%
Underdog (odds 2.20-4.00) 3W–7L · 30.0%
Heavy underdog (odds above 4.00) 1W–1L · 50.0%

23 matches with market odds since 2026-05-26.

Serve & Return

Serve and return win rates from each player's last 10 matches at the selected level.

Thiago Seyboth Wild Joao Lucas Reis Da Silva

1st Serve In %

64.4%
62.9%

1st Serve Points Won %

70.9%
63.6%

2nd Serve Points Won %

54.5%
44.4%

Return Points Won vs 1st Serve %

23.3%
22.5%

Return Points Won vs 2nd Serve %

49.4%
48.7%

Aces per Service Game

0.53
0.21

Double Faults per Service Game

0.18
0.16

Based on each player's last 10 ATP/Grand Slam matches.

1st Serve In %

59.4%
—

1st Serve Points Won %

72.1%
—

2nd Serve Points Won %

54.9%
—

Return Points Won vs 1st Serve %

34.3%
—

Return Points Won vs 2nd Serve %

45.8%
—

Aces per Service Game

0.58
0.36

Double Faults per Service Game

0.17
0.23

Based on each player's last 10 Challenger matches.

Break Point Performance

How each player handles the biggest points - break points saved serving, and converted returning - from their last 10 matches at the selected level.

Thiago Seyboth Wild Joao Lucas Reis Da Silva

Break Points Saved %

59.1%
48.3%

Break Points Converted %

33.3%
31.0%

Based on each player's last 10 ATP/Grand Slam matches.

Break Points Saved %

56.8%
64.3%

Break Points Converted %

37.3%
58.0%

Based on each player's last 10 Challenger matches.

Head-to-Head

Thiago Seyboth Wild 3 – 0 Joao Lucas Reis Da Silva

Clay Santiago CH · 2023-03-06

Q2

Thiago Seyboth Wild #400

Joao Lucas Reis Da Silva #301

6-3 6-2
1 Aces 2
0 Double Faults 3
44 Service Points 57
31 First Serve In 36
28 First Serve Won 19
8 Second Serve Won 11
0 Break Points Saved 1
0 Break Points Faced 4
- Winners -
- Unforced Errors -
- Average Odds -
Clay Sao Leopoldo CH · 2022-11-14

QF

Thiago Seyboth Wild #404

Joao Lucas Reis Da Silva #341

6-2 7-5
2 Aces 0
4 Double Faults 5
56 Service Points 70
33 First Serve In 40
26 First Serve Won 25
11 Second Serve Won 10
5 Break Points Saved 5
7 Break Points Faced 10
- Winners -
- Unforced Errors -
- Average Odds -
Clay Buenos Aires CH · 2022-09-26

Q2

Thiago Seyboth Wild #374

Joao Lucas Reis Da Silva #443

6-4 6-4
3 Aces 2
4 Double Faults 3
75 Service Points 74
49 First Serve In 41
34 First Serve Won 27
13 Second Serve Won 15
5 Break Points Saved 3
6 Break Points Faced 6
- Winners -
- Unforced Errors -
- Average Odds -

Thiago Seyboth Wild — Last 10

W W W W W W W W W L

Joao Lucas Reis Da Silva — Last 10

W W W W L W L W W W