ATP tennis predict — Thiago Seyboth Wild vs Gianmarco Ferrari

Challenger Clay Genoa challenger · 1. round 11:00

Predicted probability

Thiago Seyboth Wild

Brazil

85.44%

Gianmarco Ferrari

Italy

14.56%

Average Odds

1.12 / 5.87

Market probability

83.98% / 16.02%

Why This Prediction?

Thiago Seyboth Wild is the favorite because he has a higher Elo rating (1716 vs 1404), a higher Elo rating on clay courts (1744 vs 1442) and more wins on clay courts (145 vs 26).

Player Comparison

1715.6 Elo 1403.8

1744.1 Elo (surface) 1442.4

158 Wins (Challenger) 32

145 Wins (surface) 26

11 Last 15 form 5

0 Head-to-head wins 0

0.954 Dominance ratio 1.033

198 Rank 517

26.5 Age 25.9

right Hand left

Performance vs. the Odds

Career record grouped by how big a favorite the market made each player, based on their average odds.

Thiago Seyboth Wild

Heavy favorite (odds below 1.30) 8W–1L · 88.9%

Favorite (odds 1.30-1.80) 11W–2L · 84.6%

Even match (odds 1.80-2.20) 1W–1L · 50.0%

Underdog (odds 2.20-4.00) 1W–1L · 50.0%

Heavy underdog (odds above 4.00) 0W–0L · 0.0%

26 matches with market odds since 2026-06-25.

Gianmarco Ferrari

Heavy favorite (odds below 1.30) 4W–1L · 80.0%

Favorite (odds 1.30-1.80) 1W–1L · 50.0%

Even match (odds 1.80-2.20) 0W–2L · 0.0%

Underdog (odds 2.20-4.00) 1W–0L · 100.0%

Heavy underdog (odds above 4.00) 0W–2L · 0.0%

12 matches with market odds since 2026-06-07.

Serve & Return

Serve and return win rates from each player's last 10 matches at the selected level.

Thiago Seyboth Wild Gianmarco Ferrari

1st Serve In %

64.4%

58.4%

1st Serve Points Won %

70.9%

66.5%

2nd Serve Points Won %

54.5%

54.9%

Return Points Won vs 1st Serve %

23.3%

30.4%

Return Points Won vs 2nd Serve %

49.4%

41.7%

Aces per Service Game

0.53

0.46

Double Faults per Service Game

0.18

0.27

Based on each player's last 10 ATP/Grand Slam matches.

1st Serve In %

61.8%

68.3%

1st Serve Points Won %

71.4%

68.8%

2nd Serve Points Won %

55.1%

57.0%

Return Points Won vs 1st Serve %

30.5%

34.6%

Return Points Won vs 2nd Serve %

42.3%

48.7%

Aces per Service Game

0.56

0.33

Double Faults per Service Game

0.18

0.14

Based on each player's last 10 Challenger matches.

Break Point Performance

How each player handles the biggest points - break points saved serving, and converted returning - from their last 10 matches at the selected level.

Thiago Seyboth Wild Gianmarco Ferrari

Break Points Saved %

59.1%

51.6%

Break Points Converted %

33.3%

31.6%

Based on each player's last 10 ATP/Grand Slam matches.

Break Points Saved %

61.0%

58.3%

Break Points Converted %

29.9%

31.0%

Based on each player's last 10 Challenger matches.

Head-to-Head

Thiago Seyboth Wild 0 – 0 Gianmarco Ferrari

Clay Genoa challenger · 2026-09-08

1. round

Thiago Seyboth Wild #198

Gianmarco Ferrari #517

6-3 6-4

7 Aces 6

3 Double Faults 2

55 Service Points 72

28 First Serve In 44

22 First Serve Won 26

18 Second Serve Won 14

1 Break Points Saved 8

2 Break Points Faced 11

- Winners -

- Unforced Errors -

1.1 Average Odds 5.9

Thiago Seyboth Wild vs Gianmarco Ferrari — Prediction