ATP tennis predict — Thiago Seyboth Wild vs Felipe Meligeni Alves

Challenger Clay Antofagasta challenger · QF 15:00

Predicted probability

Thiago Seyboth Wild

Brazil

69.90%

Felipe Meligeni Alves

Brazil

30.10%

Average Odds

1.27 / 3.39

Market probability

72.75% / 27.25%

Why This Prediction?

Thiago Seyboth Wild is the favorite because he has a higher Elo rating (1799 vs 1674), a higher Elo rating on clay courts (1812 vs 1709) and a stronger serve (64.0% vs 60.1% of service points won).

Player Comparison

1798.5 Elo 1674.0

1812.2 Elo (surface) 1709.4

165 Wins (Challenger) 155

152 Wins (surface) 147

13 Last 15 form 9

0 Head-to-head wins 1

0.953 Dominance ratio 0.865

136 Rank 453

26.6 Age 28.6

right Hand right

Performance vs. the Odds

Career record grouped by how big a favorite the market made each player, based on their average odds.

Thiago Seyboth Wild

Heavy favorite (odds below 1.30) 10W–1L · 90.9%

Favorite (odds 1.30-1.80) 11W–2L · 84.6%

Even match (odds 1.80-2.20) 1W–1L · 50.0%

Underdog (odds 2.20-4.00) 1W–1L · 50.0%

Heavy underdog (odds above 4.00) 0W–0L · 0.0%

28 matches with market odds since 2026-06-25.

Felipe Meligeni Alves

Heavy favorite (odds below 1.30) 3W–0L · 100.0%

Favorite (odds 1.30-1.80) 5W–2L · 71.4%

Even match (odds 1.80-2.20) 3W–2L · 60.0%

Underdog (odds 2.20-4.00) 1W–3L · 25.0%

Heavy underdog (odds above 4.00) 0W–1L · 0.0%

20 matches with market odds since 2026-06-22.

Serve & Return

Serve and return win rates from each player's last 10 matches at the selected level.

Thiago Seyboth Wild Felipe Meligeni Alves

1st Serve In %

64.4%

67.7%

1st Serve Points Won %

70.9%

65.2%

2nd Serve Points Won %

54.5%

40.0%

Return Points Won vs 1st Serve %

23.3%

31.2%

Return Points Won vs 2nd Serve %

49.4%

48.0%

Aces per Service Game

0.53

0.38

Double Faults per Service Game

0.18

0.24

Based on each player's last 10 ATP/Grand Slam matches.

1st Serve In %

63.6%

62.0%

1st Serve Points Won %

74.2%

72.8%

2nd Serve Points Won %

59.6%

45.4%

Return Points Won vs 1st Serve %

33.7%

30.1%

Return Points Won vs 2nd Serve %

46.8%

51.5%

Aces per Service Game

0.63

Double Faults per Service Game

0.18

0.29

Based on each player's last 10 Challenger matches.

Break Point Performance

How each player handles the biggest points - break points saved serving, and converted returning - from their last 10 matches at the selected level.

Thiago Seyboth Wild Felipe Meligeni Alves

Break Points Saved %

59.1%

65.7%

Break Points Converted %

33.3%

30.1%

Based on each player's last 10 ATP/Grand Slam matches.

Break Points Saved %

61.3%

61.9%

Break Points Converted %

35.0%

41.3%

Based on each player's last 10 Challenger matches.

Head-to-Head

Thiago Seyboth Wild 0 – 1 Felipe Meligeni Alves

Clay Campinas CH · 2019-09-30

R64

Felipe Meligeni Alves #382

Thiago Seyboth Wild #321

5-7 6-2 6-2

2 Aces 5

4 Double Faults 5

92 Service Points 82

59 First Serve In 46

42 First Serve Won 36

18 Second Serve Won 14

6 Break Points Saved 2

7 Break Points Faced 6

- Winners -

- Unforced Errors -

- Average Odds -

Thiago Seyboth Wild vs Felipe Meligeni Alves — Prediction