ATP tennis predict — Thiago Seyboth Wild vs Daniel Rincon

Challenger Clay Zug challenger · R16

Predicted probability

Thiago Seyboth Wild

Brazil

45.70%

Daniel Rincon

Spain

54.30%

Average Odds

1.71 / 2.05

Market probability

54.52% / 45.48%

Why This Prediction?

This is a very close match — there is no significant statistical edge for either player.

Player Comparison

1679.6 Elo 1722.8

1698.7 Elo (surface) 1738.9

151 Wins (Challenger) 105

138 Wins (surface) 76

10 Last 15 form 11

1 Head-to-head wins 0

1.225 Dominance ratio 1.229

276 Rank 206

26.4 Age 23.5

right Hand left

Performance vs. the Odds

Career record grouped by how big a favorite the market made each player, based on their average odds.

Thiago Seyboth Wild

Heavy favorite (odds below 1.30) 8W–1L · 88.9%

Favorite (odds 1.30-1.80) 11W–2L · 84.6%

Even match (odds 1.80-2.20) 1W–1L · 50.0%

Underdog (odds 2.20-4.00) 1W–1L · 50.0%

Heavy underdog (odds above 4.00) 0W–0L · 0.0%

26 matches with market odds since 2026-06-25.

Daniel Rincon

Heavy favorite (odds below 1.30) 0W–0L · 0.0%

Favorite (odds 1.30-1.80) 6W–2L · 75.0%

Even match (odds 1.80-2.20) 2W–2L · 50.0%

Underdog (odds 2.20-4.00) 4W–5L · 44.4%

Heavy underdog (odds above 4.00) 1W–2L · 33.3%

24 matches with market odds since 2026-06-11.

Serve & Return

Serve and return win rates from each player's last 10 matches at the selected level.

Thiago Seyboth Wild Daniel Rincon

1st Serve In %

64.4%

60.5%

1st Serve Points Won %

70.9%

2nd Serve Points Won %

54.5%

46.2%

Return Points Won vs 1st Serve %

23.3%

31.2%

Return Points Won vs 2nd Serve %

49.4%

48.6%

Aces per Service Game

0.53

0.33

Double Faults per Service Game

0.18

0.19

Based on each player's last 10 ATP/Grand Slam matches.

1st Serve In %

61.8%

60.4%

1st Serve Points Won %

71.4%

67.0%

2nd Serve Points Won %

55.1%

51.3%

Return Points Won vs 1st Serve %

30.5%

27.8%

Return Points Won vs 2nd Serve %

42.3%

47.3%

Aces per Service Game

0.56

0.42

Double Faults per Service Game

0.18

0.22

Based on each player's last 10 Challenger matches.

Break Point Performance

How each player handles the biggest points - break points saved serving, and converted returning - from their last 10 matches at the selected level.

Thiago Seyboth Wild Daniel Rincon

Break Points Saved %

59.1%

63.5%

Break Points Converted %

33.3%

33.8%

Based on each player's last 10 ATP/Grand Slam matches.

Break Points Saved %

61.0%

69.4%

Break Points Converted %

29.9%

40.7%

Based on each player's last 10 Challenger matches.

Head-to-Head

Thiago Seyboth Wild 1 – 0 Daniel Rincon

Clay Zug challenger · 2026-07-22

R16

Thiago Seyboth Wild #276

Daniel Rincon #206

7-6 4-6 6-3

7 Aces 12

2 Double Faults 2

84 Service Points 125

48 First Serve In 90

36 First Serve Won 61

19 Second Serve Won 15

0 Break Points Saved 5

3 Break Points Faced 8

- Winners -

- Unforced Errors -

1.7 Average Odds 2.0

Clay Lima CH · 2022-10-24

Q1

Thiago Seyboth Wild #343

Daniel Rincon #461

6-4 6-4

3 Aces 2

0 Double Faults 2

62 Service Points 76

44 First Serve In 55

30 First Serve Won 30

11 Second Serve Won 13

2 Break Points Saved 7

3 Break Points Faced 10

- Winners -

- Unforced Errors -

- Average Odds -

Thiago Seyboth Wild vs Daniel Rincon — Prediction