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Thiago Seyboth Wild vs Carlos Maria Zarate — Prediction

Challenger Clay Santa Cruz De La Sierra challenger · R16 16:00

Predicted probability

Thiago Seyboth Wild

Brazil

85.54%

Carlos Maria Zarate

Argentina

14.46%

Average Odds

1.03  /  4.52

Market probability

81.44%  /  18.56%

Why This Prediction?

Thiago Seyboth Wild is the favorite because he has a higher Elo rating (1802 vs 1446), a higher Elo rating on clay courts (1817 vs 1467) and more wins on clay courts (154 vs 18).

Player Comparison

1801.7 Elo 1446.2
1816.5 Elo (surface) 1466.7
167 Wins (Challenger) 19
154 Wins (surface) 18
12 Last 15 form 6
0 Head-to-head wins 0
0.953 Dominance ratio 1.020
136 Rank 352
26.6 Age 21.5
right Hand right

Performance vs. the Odds

Career record grouped by how big a favorite the market made each player, based on their average odds.

Thiago Seyboth Wild

Heavy favorite (odds below 1.30) 10W–1L · 90.9%
Favorite (odds 1.30-1.80) 13W–3L · 81.2%
Even match (odds 1.80-2.20) 1W–1L · 50.0%
Underdog (odds 2.20-4.00) 1W–1L · 50.0%
Heavy underdog (odds above 4.00) 0W–0L · 0.0%

31 matches with market odds since 2026-06-25.

Carlos Maria Zarate

Heavy favorite (odds below 1.30) 0W–0L · 0.0%
Favorite (odds 1.30-1.80) 0W–0L · 0.0%
Even match (odds 1.80-2.20) 0W–0L · 0.0%
Underdog (odds 2.20-4.00) 0W–1L · 0.0%
Heavy underdog (odds above 4.00) 0W–0L · 0.0%

1 matches with market odds since 2026-09-29.

Serve & Return

Serve and return win rates from each player's last 10 matches at the selected level.

Thiago Seyboth Wild Carlos Maria Zarate

1st Serve In %

64.4%
—

1st Serve Points Won %

70.9%
—

2nd Serve Points Won %

54.5%
—

Return Points Won vs 1st Serve %

23.3%
—

Return Points Won vs 2nd Serve %

49.4%
—

Aces per Service Game

0.53
—

Double Faults per Service Game

0.18
—

Based on each player's last 10 ATP/Grand Slam matches.

1st Serve In %

50.9%
62.1%

1st Serve Points Won %

78.6%
63.8%

2nd Serve Points Won %

66.7%
54.8%

Return Points Won vs 1st Serve %

40.9%
35.5%

Return Points Won vs 2nd Serve %

50.0%
47.6%

Aces per Service Game

0.50
0.28

Double Faults per Service Game

0.18
0.26

Based on each player's last 10 Challenger matches.

Break Point Performance

How each player handles the biggest points - break points saved serving, and converted returning - from their last 10 matches at the selected level.

Thiago Seyboth Wild Carlos Maria Zarate

Break Points Saved %

59.1%
—

Break Points Converted %

33.3%
—

Based on each player's last 10 ATP/Grand Slam matches.

Break Points Saved %

38.5%
60.6%

Break Points Converted %

37.3%
46.8%

Based on each player's last 10 Challenger matches.

Head-to-Head

Thiago Seyboth Wild and Carlos Maria Zarate have never played each other.

Thiago Seyboth Wild — Last 10

L W W W W W W W W W

Carlos Maria Zarate — Last 10

L L L L W W L L L W