ATP tennis predict — Thiago Monteiro vs Max Hans Rehberg

Challenger Clay Tulln challenger · 1. round 14:30

Predicted probability

Thiago Monteiro

Brazil

56.84%

Max Hans Rehberg

Germany

43.16%

Average Odds

2.04 / 1.71

Market probability

45.60% / 54.40%

Why This Prediction?

Thiago Monteiro is the favorite because he has a higher Elo rating on clay courts (1700 vs 1593), more wins on clay courts (239 vs 45) and a higher Elo rating (1670 vs 1626).

Player Comparison

1670.0 Elo 1625.7

1699.9 Elo (surface) 1593.4

253 Wins (Challenger) 90

239 Wins (surface) 45

11 Last 15 form 8

0 Head-to-head wins 0

1.233 Dominance ratio 1.085

280 Rank 320

32.3 Age 23.0

left Hand right

Performance vs. the Odds

Career record grouped by how big a favorite the market made each player, based on their average odds.

Thiago Monteiro

Heavy favorite (odds below 1.30) 5W–1L · 83.3%

Favorite (odds 1.30-1.80) 6W–2L · 75.0%

Even match (odds 1.80-2.20) 4W–4L · 50.0%

Underdog (odds 2.20-4.00) 1W–1L · 50.0%

Heavy underdog (odds above 4.00) 0W–0L · 0.0%

24 matches with market odds since 2026-07-11.

Max Hans Rehberg

Heavy favorite (odds below 1.30) 1W–2L · 33.3%

Favorite (odds 1.30-1.80) 6W–6L · 50.0%

Even match (odds 1.80-2.20) 2W–1L · 66.7%

Underdog (odds 2.20-4.00) 1W–2L · 33.3%

Heavy underdog (odds above 4.00) 0W–0L · 0.0%

21 matches with market odds since 2026-06-02.

Serve & Return

Serve and return win rates from each player's last 10 matches at the selected level.

Thiago Monteiro Max Hans Rehberg

1st Serve In %

66.5%

67.5%

1st Serve Points Won %

72.5%

62.8%

2nd Serve Points Won %

48.4%

44.8%

Return Points Won vs 1st Serve %

25.2%

27.0%

Return Points Won vs 2nd Serve %

50.3%

49.7%

Aces per Service Game

0.45

0.23

Double Faults per Service Game

0.22

0.29

Based on each player's last 10 ATP/Grand Slam matches.

1st Serve In %

56.8%

62.4%

1st Serve Points Won %

63.9%

70.8%

2nd Serve Points Won %

51.8%

51.6%

Return Points Won vs 1st Serve %

25.0%

32.2%

Return Points Won vs 2nd Serve %

44.6%

45.8%

Aces per Service Game

0.23

0.28

Double Faults per Service Game

0.20

0.30

Based on each player's last 10 Challenger matches.

Break Point Performance

How each player handles the biggest points - break points saved serving, and converted returning - from their last 10 matches at the selected level.

Thiago Monteiro Max Hans Rehberg

Break Points Saved %

64.3%

47.5%

Break Points Converted %

40.4%

42.2%

Based on each player's last 10 ATP/Grand Slam matches.

Break Points Saved %

53.6%

66.7%

Break Points Converted %

37.0%

46.3%

Based on each player's last 10 Challenger matches.

Head-to-Head

Thiago Monteiro 0 – 0 Max Hans Rehberg

Clay Tulln challenger · 2026-09-08

1. round

Thiago Monteiro #280

Max Hans Rehberg #320

6-7 6-3 7-6

3 Aces 5

4 Double Faults 8

124 Service Points 103

73 First Serve In 64

50 First Serve Won 50

31 Second Serve Won 22

3 Break Points Saved 6

5 Break Points Faced 9

- Winners -

- Unforced Errors -

2.0 Average Odds 1.7

Thiago Monteiro vs Max Hans Rehberg — Prediction