ATP tennis predict
← Back to Predictions

Thiago Monteiro vs Kimmer Coppejans — Prediction

Challenger Clay Porto 2 challenger · 1. round 15:30

Predicted probability

Thiago Monteiro

Brazil

58.87%

Kimmer Coppejans

Belgium

41.13%

Average Odds

1.78  /  1.93

Market probability

52.02%  /  47.98%

Why This Prediction?

Thiago Monteiro is the favorite because he has a higher Elo rating (1665 vs 1641), a stronger serve (68.0% vs 53.9% of service points won) and a stronger return game (43.1% vs 36.6% of return points won).

Player Comparison

1665.2 Elo 1641.3
1694.2 Elo (surface) 1678.1
251 Wins (Challenger) 324
237 Wins (surface) 247
11 Last 15 form 9
1 Head-to-head wins 2
1.345 Dominance ratio 0.793
280 Rank 217
32.2 Age 32.6
left Hand right

Performance vs. the Odds

Career record grouped by how big a favorite the market made each player, based on their average odds.

Thiago Monteiro

Heavy favorite (odds below 1.30) 5W–1L · 83.3%
Favorite (odds 1.30-1.80) 6W–2L · 75.0%
Even match (odds 1.80-2.20) 4W–4L · 50.0%
Underdog (odds 2.20-4.00) 1W–1L · 50.0%
Heavy underdog (odds above 4.00) 0W–0L · 0.0%

24 matches with market odds since 2026-07-11.

Kimmer Coppejans

Heavy favorite (odds below 1.30) 2W–0L · 100.0%
Favorite (odds 1.30-1.80) 7W–2L · 77.8%
Even match (odds 1.80-2.20) 2W–4L · 33.3%
Underdog (odds 2.20-4.00) 0W–4L · 0.0%
Heavy underdog (odds above 4.00) 0W–1L · 0.0%

22 matches with market odds since 2026-05-26.

Serve & Return

Serve and return win rates from each player's last 10 matches at the selected level.

Thiago Monteiro Kimmer Coppejans

1st Serve In %

66.5%
56.2%

1st Serve Points Won %

72.5%
71.0%

2nd Serve Points Won %

48.4%
48.5%

Return Points Won vs 1st Serve %

25.2%
31.4%

Return Points Won vs 2nd Serve %

50.3%
49.1%

Aces per Service Game

0.45
0.52

Double Faults per Service Game

0.22
0.34

Based on each player's last 10 ATP/Grand Slam matches.

1st Serve In %

56.8%
64.5%

1st Serve Points Won %

63.9%
59.7%

2nd Serve Points Won %

51.8%
42.2%

Return Points Won vs 1st Serve %

25.0%
25.8%

Return Points Won vs 2nd Serve %

44.6%
40.4%

Aces per Service Game

0.23
0.18

Double Faults per Service Game

0.20
0.20

Based on each player's last 10 Challenger matches.

Break Point Performance

How each player handles the biggest points - break points saved serving, and converted returning - from their last 10 matches at the selected level.

Thiago Monteiro Kimmer Coppejans

Break Points Saved %

64.3%
52.6%

Break Points Converted %

40.4%
37.1%

Based on each player's last 10 ATP/Grand Slam matches.

Break Points Saved %

53.6%
52.3%

Break Points Converted %

37.0%
48.3%

Based on each player's last 10 Challenger matches.

Head-to-Head

Thiago Monteiro 1 – 2 Kimmer Coppejans

Clay Porto 2 challenger · 2026-08-31

1. round

Thiago Monteiro #280

Kimmer Coppejans #217

6-4 6-2
2 Aces 2
3 Double Faults 4
47 Service Points 46
32 First Serve In 26
26 First Serve Won 18
9 Second Serve Won 8
1 Break Points Saved 1
2 Break Points Faced 5
- Winners -
- Unforced Errors -
1.8 Average Odds 1.9
Hard Australian Open · 2025-01-13

Q3

Thiago Monteiro #105

Kimmer Coppejans #363

6-4 6-3
6 Aces 3
0 Double Faults 0
46 Service Points 49
30 First Serve In 28
27 First Serve Won 22
13 Second Serve Won 12
0 Break Points Saved 2
0 Break Points Faced 4
- Winners -
- Unforced Errors -
- Average Odds -
Clay Davis Cup QLS R1: BEL vs BRA · 2019-02-01

RR

Kimmer Coppejans #195

Thiago Monteiro #107

6-3 6-4
6 Aces 4
2 Double Faults 2
66 Service Points 50
42 First Serve In 33
33 First Serve Won 22
12 Second Serve Won 7
8 Break Points Saved 0
9 Break Points Faced 3
- Winners -
- Unforced Errors -
- Average Odds -
Clay Sao Paulo CH · 2015-10-05

R16

Kimmer Coppejans #136

Thiago Monteiro #526

6-2 6-1
3 Aces 1
1 Double Faults 0
42 Service Points 54
18 First Serve In 32
15 First Serve Won 17
13 Second Serve Won 5
2 Break Points Saved 8
3 Break Points Faced 14
- Winners -
- Unforced Errors -
- Average Odds -

Thiago Monteiro — Last 10

L L W W W W L W L W

Kimmer Coppejans — Last 10

L W L L L L W L L W