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Thiago Monteiro vs Ft Thomas — Prediction

Challenger Clay Zug challenger · qualification - 1. round

Predicted probability

Thiago Monteiro

Brazil

91.92%

Ft Thomas

Switzerland

8.08%

Average Odds

1.04  /  10.02

Market probability

90.60%  /  9.40%

Why This Prediction?

Thiago Monteiro is the favorite because he has a higher Elo rating on clay courts (1682 vs 1500), a higher Elo rating (1643 vs 1500) and more wins on clay courts (229 vs 0).

Player Comparison

1642.9 Elo 1500
1682.2 Elo (surface) 1500
243 Wins (Challenger) 0
229 Wins (surface) 0
11 Last 15 form 0
0 Head-to-head wins 0
1.050 Dominance ratio 1.050
290 Rank 1403
32.1 Age None
left Hand right

Performance vs. the Odds

Career record grouped by how big a favorite the market made each player, based on their average odds.

Thiago Monteiro

Heavy favorite (odds below 1.30) 5W–1L · 83.3%
Favorite (odds 1.30-1.80) 6W–2L · 75.0%
Even match (odds 1.80-2.20) 4W–4L · 50.0%
Underdog (odds 2.20-4.00) 1W–1L · 50.0%
Heavy underdog (odds above 4.00) 0W–0L · 0.0%

24 matches with market odds since 2026-07-11.

Ft Thomas

Heavy favorite (odds below 1.30) 0W–0L · 0.0%
Favorite (odds 1.30-1.80) 0W–0L · 0.0%
Even match (odds 1.80-2.20) 0W–0L · 0.0%
Underdog (odds 2.20-4.00) 0W–0L · 0.0%
Heavy underdog (odds above 4.00) 0W–0L · 0.0%

No market odds recorded for this player yet.

Serve & Return

Serve and return win rates from each player's last 10 matches at the selected level.

Thiago Monteiro Ft Thomas

1st Serve In %

66.5%

1st Serve Points Won %

72.5%

2nd Serve Points Won %

48.4%

Return Points Won vs 1st Serve %

25.2%

Return Points Won vs 2nd Serve %

50.3%

Aces per Service Game

0.45

Double Faults per Service Game

0.22

Based on each player's last 10 ATP/Grand Slam matches.

1st Serve In %

56.8%

1st Serve Points Won %

63.9%

2nd Serve Points Won %

51.8%

Return Points Won vs 1st Serve %

25.0%

Return Points Won vs 2nd Serve %

44.6%

Aces per Service Game

0.23

Double Faults per Service Game

0.20

Based on each player's last 10 Challenger matches.

Break Point Performance

How each player handles the biggest points - break points saved serving, and converted returning - from their last 10 matches at the selected level.

Thiago Monteiro Ft Thomas

Break Points Saved %

64.3%

Break Points Converted %

40.4%

Based on each player's last 10 ATP/Grand Slam matches.

Break Points Saved %

53.6%

Break Points Converted %

37.0%

Based on each player's last 10 Challenger matches.

Head-to-Head

Thiago Monteiro and Ft Thomas have never played each other.

Thiago Monteiro — Last 10

L L W W W W L W L W

Ft Thomas — Last 0

No recent matches found.