ATP tennis predict — Thiago Cigarran vs Nicolas Kicker

Challenger Clay Santa Cruz De La Sierra challenger · 1. round 23:00

Predicted probability

Thiago Cigarran

Argentina

38.45%

Nicolas Kicker

Argentina

61.55%

Average Odds

3.77 / 1.21

Market probability

24.30% / 75.70%

Why This Prediction?

Nicolas Kicker is the favorite because he has a higher Elo rating on clay courts (1656 vs 1524), a higher Elo rating (1644 vs 1511) and more wins on clay courts (190 vs 21).

Player Comparison

1511.4 Elo 1643.9

1524.2 Elo (surface) 1655.7

21 Wins (Challenger) 206

21 Wins (surface) 190

8 Last 15 form 9

2 Head-to-head wins 0

1.033 Dominance ratio 1.077

622 Rank 351

26.6 Age 34.2

right Hand right

Performance vs. the Odds

Career record grouped by how big a favorite the market made each player, based on their average odds.

Thiago Cigarran

Heavy favorite (odds below 1.30) 4W–0L · 100.0%

Favorite (odds 1.30-1.80) 1W–1L · 50.0%

Even match (odds 1.80-2.20) 0W–0L · 0.0%

Underdog (odds 2.20-4.00) 2W–3L · 40.0%

Heavy underdog (odds above 4.00) 1W–1L · 50.0%

13 matches with market odds since 2026-06-08.

Nicolas Kicker

Heavy favorite (odds below 1.30) 4W–1L · 80.0%

Favorite (odds 1.30-1.80) 1W–0L · 100.0%

Even match (odds 1.80-2.20) 0W–1L · 0.0%

Underdog (odds 2.20-4.00) 5W–3L · 62.5%

Heavy underdog (odds above 4.00) 1W–1L · 50.0%

17 matches with market odds since 2026-06-12.

Serve & Return

Serve and return win rates from each player's last 10 matches at the selected level.

Thiago Cigarran Nicolas Kicker

1st Serve In %

—

65.9%

1st Serve Points Won %

—

60.9%

2nd Serve Points Won %

—

45.5%

Return Points Won vs 1st Serve %

—

32.6%

Return Points Won vs 2nd Serve %

—

42.4%

Aces per Service Game

—

0.15

Double Faults per Service Game

—

0.31

Based on each player's last 10 ATP/Grand Slam matches.

1st Serve In %

69.3%

72.8%

1st Serve Points Won %

61.4%

70.6%

2nd Serve Points Won %

51.3%

46.8%

Return Points Won vs 1st Serve %

25.6%

43.5%

Return Points Won vs 2nd Serve %

46.2%

59.3%

Aces per Service Game

0.13

0.24

Double Faults per Service Game

0.38

0.21

Based on each player's last 10 Challenger matches.

Break Point Performance

How each player handles the biggest points - break points saved serving, and converted returning - from their last 10 matches at the selected level.

Thiago Cigarran Nicolas Kicker

Break Points Saved %

—

65.6%

Break Points Converted %

—

32.2%

Based on each player's last 10 ATP/Grand Slam matches.

Break Points Saved %

53.0%

50.0%

Break Points Converted %

53.7%

51.9%

Based on each player's last 10 Challenger matches.

Head-to-Head

Thiago Cigarran 2 – 0 Nicolas Kicker

Clay Antofagasta challenger · 2026-10-05

qualification - round of 16

Thiago Cigarran #622

Nicolas Kicker #351

6-3 3-0

0 Aces 3

1 Double Faults 0

- Service Points -

- First Serve In -

10 First Serve Won 17

5 Second Serve Won 8

2 Break Points Saved 0

6 Break Points Faced 1

- Winners -

- Unforced Errors -

5.2 Average Odds 1.1

Clay Asuncion CH · 2026-03-16

R32

Thiago Cigarran #846

Nicolas Kicker #263

5-7 6-2 6-4

6 Aces 1

4 Double Faults 1

85 Service Points 88

52 First Serve In 57

39 First Serve Won 35

14 Second Serve Won 16

8 Break Points Saved 2

12 Break Points Faced 8

- Winners -

- Unforced Errors -

- Average Odds -

Thiago Cigarran vs Nicolas Kicker — Prediction