ATP tennis predict — Thiago Agustin Tirante vs Taylor Fritz

ATP Hard Montreal · 2. round 20:00

Predicted probability

Thiago Agustin Tirante

Argentina

20.14%

Taylor Fritz

USA

79.86%

Average Odds

5.46 / 1.15

Market probability

17.40% / 82.60%

Why This Prediction?

Taylor Fritz is the favorite because he has a higher Elo rating on hard courts (1883 vs 1630), a higher Elo rating (1943 vs 1722) and a stronger serve (74.7% vs 62.6% of service points won).

Player Comparison

1722.4 Elo 1943.1

1629.7 Elo (surface) 1883.2

61 Wins 392

24 Wins (surface) 271

9 Last 15 form 13

0 Head-to-head wins 0

0.863 Dominance ratio 1.465

65 Rank 8

25.3 Age 28.8

right Hand right

Performance vs. the Odds

Career record grouped by how big a favorite the market made each player, based on their average odds.

Thiago Agustin Tirante

Heavy favorite (odds below 1.30) 0W–0L · 0.0%

Favorite (odds 1.30-1.80) 7W–2L · 77.8%

Even match (odds 1.80-2.20) 2W–1L · 66.7%

Underdog (odds 2.20-4.00) 2W–4L · 33.3%

Heavy underdog (odds above 4.00) 1W–0L · 100.0%

19 matches with market odds since 2026-05-24.

Taylor Fritz

Heavy favorite (odds below 1.30) 11W–3L · 78.6%

Favorite (odds 1.30-1.80) 6W–3L · 66.7%

Even match (odds 1.80-2.20) 0W–0L · 0.0%

Underdog (odds 2.20-4.00) 1W–0L · 100.0%

Heavy underdog (odds above 4.00) 0W–0L · 0.0%

24 matches with market odds since 2026-05-24.

Serve & Return

Serve and return win rates from each player's last 10 matches at the selected level.

Thiago Agustin Tirante Taylor Fritz

1st Serve In %

55.2%

61.5%

1st Serve Points Won %

76.9%

80.5%

2nd Serve Points Won %

57.3%

48.0%

Return Points Won vs 1st Serve %

25.3%

27.5%

Return Points Won vs 2nd Serve %

49.7%

50.6%

Aces per Service Game

0.55

0.75

Double Faults per Service Game

0.20

0.23

Based on each player's last 10 ATP/Grand Slam matches.

1st Serve In %

56.8%

64.6%

1st Serve Points Won %

74.6%

80.8%

2nd Serve Points Won %

53.4%

55.6%

Return Points Won vs 1st Serve %

28.2%

30.5%

Return Points Won vs 2nd Serve %

47.3%

49.8%

Aces per Service Game

0.68

0.88

Double Faults per Service Game

0.15

0.17

Based on each player's last 10 Challenger matches.

Break Point Performance

How each player handles the biggest points - break points saved serving, and converted returning - from their last 10 matches at the selected level.

Thiago Agustin Tirante Taylor Fritz

Break Points Saved %

69.4%

65.0%

Break Points Converted %

36.2%

35.7%

Based on each player's last 10 ATP/Grand Slam matches.

Break Points Saved %

54.0%

74.4%

Break Points Converted %

41.5%

42.4%

Based on each player's last 10 Challenger matches.

Head-to-Head

Thiago Agustin Tirante 0 – 0 Taylor Fritz

Hard Montreal · 2026-08-05

2. round

Thiago Agustin Tirante #65

Taylor Fritz #8

7-5 6-3

9 Aces 4

2 Double Faults 1

53 Service Points 73

26 First Serve In 40

25 First Serve Won 25

18 Second Serve Won 18

4 Break Points Saved 3

4 Break Points Faced 6

29 Winners 13

22 Unforced Errors 26

5.5 Average Odds 1.1

Thiago Agustin Tirante vs Taylor Fritz — Prediction