ATP tennis predict — Thiago Agustin Tirante vs Hamad Medjedovic

ATP Hard Shanghai · 1. round 04:00

Predicted probability

Thiago Agustin Tirante

Argentina

55.35%

Hamad Medjedovic

Serbia

44.65%

Average Odds

1.67 / 2.18

Market probability

56.62% / 43.38%

Why This Prediction?

Thiago Agustin Tirante is the favorite because he has a higher Elo rating on hard courts (1817 vs 1743), a higher Elo rating (1933 vs 1906) and a stronger serve (69.1% vs 66.9% of service points won).

Player Comparison

1932.9 Elo 1905.6

1816.8 Elo (surface) 1743.0

67 Wins 83

30 Wins (surface) 37

9 Last 15 form 8

0 Head-to-head wins 0

1.152 Dominance ratio 0.981

54 Rank 78

25.5 Age 23.2

right Hand right

Performance vs. the Odds

Career record grouped by how big a favorite the market made each player, based on their average odds.

Thiago Agustin Tirante

Heavy favorite (odds below 1.30) 0W–0L · 0.0%

Favorite (odds 1.30-1.80) 7W–3L · 70.0%

Even match (odds 1.80-2.20) 2W–1L · 66.7%

Underdog (odds 2.20-4.00) 2W–4L · 33.3%

Heavy underdog (odds above 4.00) 1W–0L · 100.0%

20 matches with market odds since 2026-05-24.

Hamad Medjedovic

Heavy favorite (odds below 1.30) 0W–0L · 0.0%

Favorite (odds 1.30-1.80) 1W–3L · 25.0%

Even match (odds 1.80-2.20) 0W–1L · 0.0%

Underdog (odds 2.20-4.00) 0W–1L · 0.0%

Heavy underdog (odds above 4.00) 0W–0L · 0.0%

6 matches with market odds since 2026-05-24.

Serve & Return

Serve and return win rates from each player's last 10 matches at the selected level.

Thiago Agustin Tirante Hamad Medjedovic

1st Serve In %

54.3%

63.6%

1st Serve Points Won %

78.1%

76.1%

2nd Serve Points Won %

57.0%

51.7%

Return Points Won vs 1st Serve %

25.5%

24.8%

Return Points Won vs 2nd Serve %

50.3%

49.0%

Aces per Service Game

0.56

0.82

Double Faults per Service Game

0.19

0.26

Based on each player's last 10 ATP/Grand Slam matches.

1st Serve In %

56.8%

65.8%

1st Serve Points Won %

74.6%

71.1%

2nd Serve Points Won %

53.4%

51.1%

Return Points Won vs 1st Serve %

28.2%

36.5%

Return Points Won vs 2nd Serve %

47.3%

56.1%

Aces per Service Game

0.68

0.43

Double Faults per Service Game

0.15

0.23

Based on each player's last 10 Challenger matches.

Break Point Performance

How each player handles the biggest points - break points saved serving, and converted returning - from their last 10 matches at the selected level.

Thiago Agustin Tirante Hamad Medjedovic

Break Points Saved %

70.1%

64.2%

Break Points Converted %

34.4%

26.4%

Based on each player's last 10 ATP/Grand Slam matches.

Break Points Saved %

54.0%

62.0%

Break Points Converted %

41.5%

48.8%

Based on each player's last 10 Challenger matches.

Head-to-Head

Thiago Agustin Tirante and Hamad Medjedovic have never played each other.

Thiago Agustin Tirante vs Hamad Medjedovic — Prediction