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Thantub Suksumrarn vs Sam Ryan Ziegann — Prediction

Challenger Hard Phan Thiet 4 challenger · qualification - 1. round 07:50

Predicted probability

Thantub Suksumrarn

Thailand

24.97%

Sam Ryan Ziegann

Australia

75.03%

Average Odds

1.92  /  1.80

Market probability

48.39%  /  51.61%

Why This Prediction?

Sam Ryan Ziegann is the favorite because he has a higher Elo rating on hard courts (1441 vs 1339), a higher Elo rating (1401 vs 1337) and better recent form (3 wins in his last 15 matches vs 1).

Player Comparison

1337.1 Elo 1401.2
1339.1 Elo (surface) 1441.0
1 Wins (Challenger) 3
1 Wins (surface) 3
1 Last 15 form 3
0 Head-to-head wins 0
0.704 Dominance ratio 0.808
1144 Rank 820
25.3 Age 28.1
right Hand right

Performance vs. the Odds

Career record grouped by how big a favorite the market made each player, based on their average odds.

Thantub Suksumrarn

Heavy favorite (odds below 1.30) 0W–0L · 0.0%
Favorite (odds 1.30-1.80) 0W–0L · 0.0%
Even match (odds 1.80-2.20) 0W–1L · 0.0%
Underdog (odds 2.20-4.00) 0W–0L · 0.0%
Heavy underdog (odds above 4.00) 0W–0L · 0.0%

1 matches with market odds since 2026-09-13.

Sam Ryan Ziegann

Heavy favorite (odds below 1.30) 0W–0L · 0.0%
Favorite (odds 1.30-1.80) 0W–0L · 0.0%
Even match (odds 1.80-2.20) 2W–0L · 100.0%
Underdog (odds 2.20-4.00) 1W–3L · 25.0%
Heavy underdog (odds above 4.00) 0W–0L · 0.0%

6 matches with market odds since 2026-07-05.

Serve & Return

Serve and return win rates from each player's last 10 matches at the selected level.

Thantub Suksumrarn Sam Ryan Ziegann

Not enough ATP/Grand Slam match history yet.

1st Serve In %

65.6%
62.0%

1st Serve Points Won %

59.6%
66.6%

2nd Serve Points Won %

46.6%
48.7%

Return Points Won vs 1st Serve %

24.1%
27.9%

Return Points Won vs 2nd Serve %

53.3%
40.9%

Aces per Service Game

0.31
0.52

Double Faults per Service Game

0.25
0.28

Based on each player's last 10 Challenger matches.

Break Point Performance

How each player handles the biggest points - break points saved serving, and converted returning - from their last 10 matches at the selected level.

Thantub Suksumrarn Sam Ryan Ziegann

Not enough ATP/Grand Slam match history yet.

Break Points Saved %

56.4%
56.1%

Break Points Converted %

38.9%
31.1%

Based on each player's last 10 Challenger matches.

Head-to-Head

Thantub Suksumrarn 00 Sam Ryan Ziegann

Hard Phan Thiet 4 challenger · 2026-09-13

qualification - 1. round

Sam Ryan Ziegann #820

Thantub Suksumrarn #1144

6-1 7-5
2 Aces 7
7 Double Faults 1
- Service Points -
- First Serve In -
13 First Serve Won 25
15 Second Serve Won 13
8 Break Points Saved 4
13 Break Points Faced 6
- Winners -
- Unforced Errors -
1.8 Average Odds 1.9

Thantub Suksumrarn — Last 7

L L L L L W L

Sam Ryan Ziegann — Last 10

L W L W W L L W L L