ATP tennis predict — Thanh Minh Truong vs Florent Bax

Challenger Hard Phan Thiet 4 challenger · 1. round 08:20

Predicted probability

Thanh Minh Truong

Viet Nam

16.08%

Florent Bax

France

83.92%

Average Odds

10.67 / 1.04

Market probability

8.88% / 91.12%

Why This Prediction?

Florent Bax is the favorite because he has a higher Elo rating (1546 vs 1420), a higher Elo rating on hard courts (1547 vs 1418) and better recent form (8 wins in his last 15 matches vs 0).

Player Comparison

1419.6 Elo 1546.0

1417.7 Elo (surface) 1547.5

0 Wins (Challenger) 39

0 Wins (surface) 25

0 Last 15 form 8

0 Head-to-head wins 0

0.587 Dominance ratio 0.832

- Rank 308

23.7 Age 27.2

right Hand right

Performance vs. the Odds

Career record grouped by how big a favorite the market made each player, based on their average odds.

Thanh Minh Truong

Heavy favorite (odds below 1.30) 0W–0L · 0.0%

Favorite (odds 1.30-1.80) 0W–0L · 0.0%

Even match (odds 1.80-2.20) 0W–0L · 0.0%

Underdog (odds 2.20-4.00) 0W–0L · 0.0%

Heavy underdog (odds above 4.00) 0W–2L · 0.0%

2 matches with market odds since 2026-09-08.

Florent Bax

Heavy favorite (odds below 1.30) 2W–0L · 100.0%

Favorite (odds 1.30-1.80) 2W–0L · 100.0%

Even match (odds 1.80-2.20) 1W–2L · 33.3%

Underdog (odds 2.20-4.00) 1W–4L · 20.0%

Heavy underdog (odds above 4.00) 0W–2L · 0.0%

14 matches with market odds since 2026-06-10.

Serve & Return

Serve and return win rates from each player's last 10 matches at the selected level.

Thanh Minh Truong Florent Bax

1st Serve In %

—

74.4%

1st Serve Points Won %

—

85.2%

2nd Serve Points Won %

—

57.1%

Return Points Won vs 1st Serve %

—

35.7%

Return Points Won vs 2nd Serve %

—

41.5%

Aces per Service Game

—

1.00

Double Faults per Service Game

—

0.36

Based on each player's last 10 ATP/Grand Slam matches.

1st Serve In %

63.5%

59.8%

1st Serve Points Won %

57.5%

69.2%

2nd Serve Points Won %

30.4%

48.5%

Return Points Won vs 1st Serve %

10.7%

23.6%

Return Points Won vs 2nd Serve %

54.2%

52.4%

Aces per Service Game

0.65

0.26

Double Faults per Service Game

0.59

0.32

Based on each player's last 10 Challenger matches.

Break Point Performance

How each player handles the biggest points - break points saved serving, and converted returning - from their last 10 matches at the selected level.

Thanh Minh Truong Florent Bax

Break Points Saved %

—

100.0%

Break Points Converted %

—

40.0%

Based on each player's last 10 ATP/Grand Slam matches.

Break Points Saved %

57.9%

51.9%

Break Points Converted %

53.8%

27.3%

Based on each player's last 10 Challenger matches.

Head-to-Head

Thanh Minh Truong 0 – 0 Florent Bax

Hard Phan Thiet 4 challenger · 2026-09-15

1. round

Florent Bax #308

Thanh Minh Truong #-

6-4 6-3

0 Aces 9

3 Double Faults 6

- Service Points -

- First Serve In -

22 First Serve Won 23

15 Second Serve Won 11

5 Break Points Saved 8

11 Break Points Faced 11

- Winners -

- Unforced Errors -

1.0 Average Odds 10.7

Thanh Minh Truong vs Florent Bax — Prediction