ATP tennis predict — Thanasi Kokkinakis vs Adam Walton

Challenger Hard Bloomfield Hills challenger · R16

Predicted probability

Thanasi Kokkinakis

Australia

48.92%

Adam Walton

Australia

51.08%

Average Odds

1.78 / 1.96

Market probability

52.41% / 47.59%

Why This Prediction?

This is a very close match — there is no significant statistical edge for either player.

Player Comparison

1786.2 Elo 1792.3

1797.2 Elo (surface) 1789.9

111 Wins (Challenger) 114

69 Wins (surface) 110

12 Last 15 form 13

0 Head-to-head wins 0

1.271 Dominance ratio 1.062

456 Rank 99

30.3 Age 27.3

right Hand right

Performance vs. the Odds

Career record grouped by how big a favorite the market made each player, based on their average odds.

Thanasi Kokkinakis

Heavy favorite (odds below 1.30) 2W–0L · 100.0%

Favorite (odds 1.30-1.80) 0W–2L · 0.0%

Even match (odds 1.80-2.20) 1W–0L · 100.0%

Underdog (odds 2.20-4.00) 1W–3L · 25.0%

Heavy underdog (odds above 4.00) 0W–0L · 0.0%

9 matches with market odds since 2026-05-25.

Adam Walton

Heavy favorite (odds below 1.30) 7W–0L · 100.0%

Favorite (odds 1.30-1.80) 7W–3L · 70.0%

Even match (odds 1.80-2.20) 3W–6L · 33.3%

Underdog (odds 2.20-4.00) 1W–2L · 33.3%

Heavy underdog (odds above 4.00) 1W–0L · 100.0%

30 matches with market odds since 2026-05-26.

Serve & Return

Serve and return win rates from each player's last 10 matches at the selected level.

Thanasi Kokkinakis Adam Walton

1st Serve In %

63.1%

61.1%

1st Serve Points Won %

77.7%

71.5%

2nd Serve Points Won %

51.3%

54.9%

Return Points Won vs 1st Serve %

27.3%

30.0%

Return Points Won vs 2nd Serve %

44.1%

51.1%

Aces per Service Game

0.88

0.60

Double Faults per Service Game

0.15

Based on each player's last 10 ATP/Grand Slam matches.

1st Serve In %

60.6%

60.1%

1st Serve Points Won %

74.9%

65.9%

2nd Serve Points Won %

51.6%

51.3%

Return Points Won vs 1st Serve %

33.3%

25.4%

Return Points Won vs 2nd Serve %

47.5%

51.9%

Aces per Service Game

0.74

0.47

Double Faults per Service Game

0.25

0.29

Based on each player's last 10 Challenger matches.

Break Point Performance

How each player handles the biggest points - break points saved serving, and converted returning - from their last 10 matches at the selected level.

Thanasi Kokkinakis Adam Walton

Break Points Saved %

71.4%

62.7%

Break Points Converted %

41.3%

42.3%

Based on each player's last 10 ATP/Grand Slam matches.

Break Points Saved %

64.7%

53.4%

Break Points Converted %

48.1%

48.4%

Based on each player's last 10 Challenger matches.

Head-to-Head

Thanasi Kokkinakis 0 – 0 Adam Walton

Hard Bloomfield Hills challenger · 2026-07-22

R16

Adam Walton #99

Thanasi Kokkinakis #456

2-6 6-3 7-6

11 Aces 7

4 Double Faults 3

100 Service Points 96

59 First Serve In 55

35 First Serve Won 43

22 Second Serve Won 14

7 Break Points Saved 3

11 Break Points Faced 8

- Winners -

- Unforced Errors -

2.0 Average Odds 1.8

Thanasi Kokkinakis vs Adam Walton — Prediction