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Terence Atmane vs Karen Khachanov — Prediction

ATP Hard Montreal · 2. round 00:15

Predicted probability

Terence Atmane

France

33.00%

Karen Khachanov

Russia

67.00%

Average Odds

2.16  /  1.69

Market probability

43.90%  /  56.10%

Why This Prediction?

Karen Khachanov is the favorite because he has a higher Elo rating (1794 vs 1619), a higher Elo rating on hard courts (1796 vs 1668) and a stronger return game (38.5% vs 28.0% of return points won).

Player Comparison

1618.8 Elo 1793.7
1667.8 Elo (surface) 1795.8
54 Wins 342
44 Wins (surface) 217
6 Last 15 form 9
0 Head-to-head wins 0
0.856 Dominance ratio 1.140
46 Rank 39
24.6 Age 30.2
left Hand right

Performance vs. the Odds

Career record grouped by how big a favorite the market made each player, based on their average odds.

Terence Atmane

Heavy favorite (odds below 1.30) 1W–1L · 50.0%
Favorite (odds 1.30-1.80) 2W–1L · 66.7%
Even match (odds 1.80-2.20) 1W–3L · 25.0%
Underdog (odds 2.20-4.00) 1W–1L · 50.0%
Heavy underdog (odds above 4.00) 0W–2L · 0.0%

13 matches with market odds since 2026-05-25.

Karen Khachanov

Heavy favorite (odds below 1.30) 3W–0L · 100.0%
Favorite (odds 1.30-1.80) 4W–6L · 40.0%
Even match (odds 1.80-2.20) 0W–0L · 0.0%
Underdog (odds 2.20-4.00) 2W–0L · 100.0%
Heavy underdog (odds above 4.00) 0W–1L · 0.0%

16 matches with market odds since 2026-05-24.

Serve & Return

Serve and return win rates from each player's last 10 matches at the selected level.

Terence Atmane Karen Khachanov

1st Serve In %

59.4%
57.3%

1st Serve Points Won %

76.9%
72.3%

2nd Serve Points Won %

50.3%
47.0%

Return Points Won vs 1st Serve %

20.9%
22.9%

Return Points Won vs 2nd Serve %

43.5%
49.2%

Aces per Service Game

0.48
0.55

Double Faults per Service Game

0.27
0.30

Based on each player's last 10 ATP/Grand Slam matches.

1st Serve In %

62.9%
54.6%

1st Serve Points Won %

71.6%
72.5%

2nd Serve Points Won %

52.3%
53.0%

Return Points Won vs 1st Serve %

26.4%
29.9%

Return Points Won vs 2nd Serve %

43.2%
50.3%

Aces per Service Game

0.71
0.59

Double Faults per Service Game

0.25
0.29

Based on each player's last 10 Challenger matches.

Break Point Performance

How each player handles the biggest points - break points saved serving, and converted returning - from their last 10 matches at the selected level.

Terence Atmane Karen Khachanov

Break Points Saved %

64.3%
64.8%

Break Points Converted %

44.2%
42.6%

Based on each player's last 10 ATP/Grand Slam matches.

Break Points Saved %

67.1%
68.1%

Break Points Converted %

32.1%
33.7%

Based on each player's last 10 Challenger matches.

Head-to-Head

Terence Atmane 00 Karen Khachanov

Hard Montreal · 2026-08-06
6-4 7-6
5 Aces 7
1 Double Faults 3
72 Service Points 73
37 First Serve In 48
30 First Serve Won 38
16 Second Serve Won 13
5 Break Points Saved 2
7 Break Points Faced 3
0 Winners 0
0 Unforced Errors 0
2.1 Average Odds 1.7

Terence Atmane — Last 10

L L W W L W W L W L

Karen Khachanov — Last 10

L W W W W W L L L L