ATP tennis predict — Terence Atmane vs Jack Draper

ATP Hard Montreal · 1. round

Predicted probability

Terence Atmane

France

24.38%

Jack Draper

Great Britain

75.62%

Average Odds

2.90 / 1.41

Market probability

32.71% / 67.29%

Why This Prediction?

Jack Draper is the favorite because he has a higher Elo rating (1930 vs 1596), a higher Elo rating on hard courts (1798 vs 1646) and a stronger return game (41.9% vs 32.3% of return points won).

Player Comparison

1595.6 Elo 1929.8

1646.2 Elo (surface) 1797.8

53 Wins 122

43 Wins (surface) 79

5 Last 15 form 9

0 Head-to-head wins 0

0.867 Dominance ratio 1.052

56 Rank 147

24.6 Age 24.6

left Hand left

Performance vs. the Odds

Career record grouped by how big a favorite the market made each player, based on their average odds.

Terence Atmane

Heavy favorite (odds below 1.30) 1W–1L · 50.0%

Favorite (odds 1.30-1.80) 2W–1L · 66.7%

Even match (odds 1.80-2.20) 1W–3L · 25.0%

Underdog (odds 2.20-4.00) 1W–1L · 50.0%

Heavy underdog (odds above 4.00) 0W–2L · 0.0%

13 matches with market odds since 2026-05-25.

Jack Draper

Heavy favorite (odds below 1.30) 1W–0L · 100.0%

Favorite (odds 1.30-1.80) 2W–3L · 40.0%

Even match (odds 1.80-2.20) 0W–0L · 0.0%

Underdog (odds 2.20-4.00) 0W–0L · 0.0%

Heavy underdog (odds above 4.00) 0W–0L · 0.0%

6 matches with market odds since 2026-06-22.

Serve & Return

Serve and return win rates from each player's last 10 matches at the selected level.

Terence Atmane Jack Draper

1st Serve In %

59.4%

62.2%

1st Serve Points Won %

76.9%

76.1%

2nd Serve Points Won %

50.3%

48.6%

Return Points Won vs 1st Serve %

20.9%

29.9%

Return Points Won vs 2nd Serve %

43.5%

48.1%

Aces per Service Game

0.48

0.46

Double Faults per Service Game

0.27

0.33

Based on each player's last 10 ATP/Grand Slam matches.

1st Serve In %

62.9%

60.5%

1st Serve Points Won %

71.6%

75.7%

2nd Serve Points Won %

52.3%

51.1%

Return Points Won vs 1st Serve %

26.4%

33.1%

Return Points Won vs 2nd Serve %

43.2%

55.6%

Aces per Service Game

0.71

0.70

Double Faults per Service Game

0.25

0.17

Based on each player's last 10 Challenger matches.

Break Point Performance

How each player handles the biggest points - break points saved serving, and converted returning - from their last 10 matches at the selected level.

Terence Atmane Jack Draper

Break Points Saved %

64.3%

56.5%

Break Points Converted %

44.2%

44.1%

Based on each player's last 10 ATP/Grand Slam matches.

Break Points Saved %

67.1%

72.9%

Break Points Converted %

32.1%

40.0%

Based on each player's last 10 Challenger matches.

Head-to-Head

Terence Atmane 0 – 0 Jack Draper

Hard Montreal · 2026-08-04

1. round

Terence Atmane #46

Jack Draper #143

6-3 2-6 6-2

9 Aces 5

6 Double Faults 2

88 Service Points 67

49 First Serve In 34

36 First Serve Won 22

19 Second Serve Won 21

7 Break Points Saved 1

9 Break Points Faced 4

27 Winners 22

39 Unforced Errors 31

2.9 Average Odds 1.4

Terence Atmane vs Jack Draper — Prediction