ATP tennis predict — Terence Atmane vs Frances Tiafoe

ATP Hard Washington · 1. round

Predicted probability

Terence Atmane

France

24.87%

Frances Tiafoe

USA

75.13%

Average Odds

1.28 / 3.66

Market probability

74.09% / 25.91%

Why This Prediction?

Frances Tiafoe is the favorite because he has a higher Elo rating (1858 vs 1580), a higher Elo rating on hard courts (1792 vs 1636) and the advantage of playing in his home country.

Player Comparison

1580.1 Elo 1857.7

1635.5 Elo (surface) 1792.0

52 Wins 290

42 Wins (surface) 198

5 Last 15 form 12

0 Head-to-head wins 3

0.849 Dominance ratio 0.890

56 Rank 19

24.6 Age 28.5

left Hand right

Performance vs. the Odds

Career record grouped by how big a favorite the market made each player, based on their average odds.

Terence Atmane

Heavy favorite (odds below 1.30) 1W–1L · 50.0%

Favorite (odds 1.30-1.80) 2W–1L · 66.7%

Even match (odds 1.80-2.20) 1W–3L · 25.0%

Underdog (odds 2.20-4.00) 1W–1L · 50.0%

Heavy underdog (odds above 4.00) 0W–2L · 0.0%

13 matches with market odds since 2026-05-25.

Frances Tiafoe

Heavy favorite (odds below 1.30) 5W–0L · 100.0%

Favorite (odds 1.30-1.80) 8W–1L · 88.9%

Even match (odds 1.80-2.20) 3W–2L · 60.0%

Underdog (odds 2.20-4.00) 4W–3L · 57.1%

Heavy underdog (odds above 4.00) 0W–0L · 0.0%

26 matches with market odds since 2026-05-25.

Serve & Return

Serve and return win rates from each player's last 10 matches at the selected level.

Terence Atmane Frances Tiafoe

1st Serve In %

59.4%

52.4%

1st Serve Points Won %

76.9%

72.5%

2nd Serve Points Won %

50.3%

47.5%

Return Points Won vs 1st Serve %

20.9%

25.3%

Return Points Won vs 2nd Serve %

43.5%

48.6%

Aces per Service Game

0.48

0.75

Double Faults per Service Game

0.27

Based on each player's last 10 ATP/Grand Slam matches.

1st Serve In %

62.9%

62.0%

1st Serve Points Won %

71.6%

73.8%

2nd Serve Points Won %

52.3%

51.9%

Return Points Won vs 1st Serve %

26.4%

31.6%

Return Points Won vs 2nd Serve %

43.2%

47.7%

Aces per Service Game

0.71

0.40

Double Faults per Service Game

0.25

0.16

Based on each player's last 10 Challenger matches.

Break Point Performance

How each player handles the biggest points - break points saved serving, and converted returning - from their last 10 matches at the selected level.

Terence Atmane Frances Tiafoe

Break Points Saved %

64.3%

57.1%

Break Points Converted %

44.2%

40.0%

Based on each player's last 10 ATP/Grand Slam matches.

Break Points Saved %

67.1%

70.6%

Break Points Converted %

32.1%

43.1%

Based on each player's last 10 Challenger matches.

Head-to-Head

Terence Atmane 0 – 3 Frances Tiafoe

Hard Washington · 2026-07-28

1. round

Terence Atmane #56

Frances Tiafoe #19

4-6 6-3 6-4

7 Aces 10

2 Double Faults 1

76 Service Points 87

46 First Serve In 52

36 First Serve Won 43

14 Second Serve Won 16

3 Break Points Saved 1

6 Break Points Faced 3

23 Winners 21

37 Unforced Errors 38

1.3 Average Odds 3.7

Grass Wimbledon · 2026-07-01

1. round

Frances Tiafoe #19

Terence Atmane #52

7-6 6-1 4-6 6-4

11 Aces 9

6 Double Faults 5

120 Service Points 111

70 First Serve In 68

56 First Serve Won 53

31 Second Serve Won 19

7 Break Points Saved 4

10 Break Points Faced 9

32 Winners 34

18 Unforced Errors 45

1.2 Average Odds 4.3

Hard Miami Masters · 2026-03-18

R16

Frances Tiafoe #20

Terence Atmane #53

6-4 1-6 6-4

6 Aces 8

1 Double Faults 3

77 Service Points 80

50 First Serve In 51

38 First Serve Won 39

12 Second Serve Won 15

6 Break Points Saved 4

8 Break Points Faced 6

- Winners -

- Unforced Errors -

- Average Odds -

Hard Dallas · 2026-02-09

R32

Frances Tiafoe #30

Terence Atmane #64

4-6 6-2 6-2

3 Aces 12

1 Double Faults 3

77 Service Points 74

43 First Serve In 45

32 First Serve Won 32

19 Second Serve Won 10

3 Break Points Saved 2

5 Break Points Faced 7