ATP tennis predict — Terence Atmane vs Bernard Tomic

ATP Hard Shanghai · qualification - 1. round 08:15

Predicted probability

Terence Atmane

France

77.54%

Bernard Tomic

Australia

22.46%

Average Odds

1.33 / 3.23

Market probability

70.83% / 29.17%

Why This Prediction?

Terence Atmane is the favorite because he has a higher Elo rating (1854 vs 1704), a higher Elo rating on hard courts (1831 vs 1681) and a stronger serve (65.2% vs 57.2% of service points won).

Player Comparison

1854.0 Elo 1704.2

1831.0 Elo (surface) 1681.3

57 Wins 255

47 Wins (surface) 168

6 Last 15 form 7

0 Head-to-head wins 0

0.811 Dominance ratio 0.693

99 Rank 184

24.7 Age 34.0

left Hand right

Performance vs. the Odds

Career record grouped by how big a favorite the market made each player, based on their average odds.

Terence Atmane

Heavy favorite (odds below 1.30) 3W–2L · 60.0%

Favorite (odds 1.30-1.80) 2W–2L · 50.0%

Even match (odds 1.80-2.20) 1W–3L · 25.0%

Underdog (odds 2.20-4.00) 1W–1L · 50.0%

Heavy underdog (odds above 4.00) 0W–2L · 0.0%

17 matches with market odds since 2026-05-25.

Bernard Tomic

Heavy favorite (odds below 1.30) 5W–1L · 83.3%

Favorite (odds 1.30-1.80) 11W–4L · 73.3%

Even match (odds 1.80-2.20) 2W–2L · 50.0%

Underdog (odds 2.20-4.00) 4W–9L · 30.8%

Heavy underdog (odds above 4.00) 0W–0L · 0.0%

38 matches with market odds since 2026-05-25.

Serve & Return

Serve and return win rates from each player's last 10 matches at the selected level.

Terence Atmane Bernard Tomic

1st Serve In %

59.1%

57.2%

1st Serve Points Won %

76.8%

67.9%

2nd Serve Points Won %

51.2%

46.0%

Return Points Won vs 1st Serve %

21.1%

26.0%

Return Points Won vs 2nd Serve %

44.5%

45.9%

Aces per Service Game

0.49

0.54

Double Faults per Service Game

0.26

0.25

Based on each player's last 10 ATP/Grand Slam matches.

1st Serve In %

64.2%

1st Serve Points Won %

70.6%

74.2%

2nd Serve Points Won %

52.6%

53.7%

Return Points Won vs 1st Serve %

25.9%

27.7%

Return Points Won vs 2nd Serve %

43.2%

51.2%

Aces per Service Game

0.71

0.79

Double Faults per Service Game

0.23

0.10

Based on each player's last 10 Challenger matches.

Break Point Performance

How each player handles the biggest points - break points saved serving, and converted returning - from their last 10 matches at the selected level.

Terence Atmane Bernard Tomic

Break Points Saved %

68.5%

55.9%

Break Points Converted %

48.6%

45.3%

Based on each player's last 10 ATP/Grand Slam matches.

Break Points Saved %

60.7%

70.0%

Break Points Converted %

31.1%

35.2%

Based on each player's last 10 Challenger matches.

Head-to-Head

Terence Atmane and Bernard Tomic have never played each other.

Terence Atmane vs Bernard Tomic — Prediction