ATP tennis predict — Terence Atmane vs Alejandro Tabilo

ATP Hard Washington · R16

Predicted probability

Terence Atmane

France

34.86%

Alejandro Tabilo

Chile

65.14%

Average Odds

1.83 / 1.96

Market probability

51.72% / 48.28%

Why This Prediction?

Alejandro Tabilo is the favorite because he has a higher Elo rating (1790 vs 1602), a higher Elo rating on hard courts (1754 vs 1657) and a stronger return game (42.0% vs 32.3% of return points won).

Player Comparison

1602.3 Elo 1790.0

1657.4 Elo (surface) 1753.7

53 Wins 132

43 Wins (surface) 62

6 Last 15 form 8

0 Head-to-head wins 0

0.844 Dominance ratio 0.885

56 Rank 30

24.6 Age 29.2

left Hand left

Performance vs. the Odds

Career record grouped by how big a favorite the market made each player, based on their average odds.

Terence Atmane

Heavy favorite (odds below 1.30) 1W–1L · 50.0%

Favorite (odds 1.30-1.80) 2W–1L · 66.7%

Even match (odds 1.80-2.20) 1W–3L · 25.0%

Underdog (odds 2.20-4.00) 1W–1L · 50.0%

Heavy underdog (odds above 4.00) 0W–2L · 0.0%

13 matches with market odds since 2026-05-25.

Alejandro Tabilo

Heavy favorite (odds below 1.30) 3W–1L · 75.0%

Favorite (odds 1.30-1.80) 5W–1L · 83.3%

Even match (odds 1.80-2.20) 1W–0L · 100.0%

Underdog (odds 2.20-4.00) 2W–6L · 25.0%

Heavy underdog (odds above 4.00) 0W–1L · 0.0%

20 matches with market odds since 2026-05-26.

Serve & Return

Serve and return win rates from each player's last 10 matches at the selected level.

Terence Atmane Alejandro Tabilo

1st Serve In %

59.4%

1st Serve Points Won %

76.9%

73.6%

2nd Serve Points Won %

50.3%

50.4%

Return Points Won vs 1st Serve %

20.9%

20.5%

Return Points Won vs 2nd Serve %

43.5%

43.3%

Aces per Service Game

0.48

0.66

Double Faults per Service Game

0.27

0.28

Based on each player's last 10 ATP/Grand Slam matches.

1st Serve In %

62.9%

61.7%

1st Serve Points Won %

71.6%

76.4%

2nd Serve Points Won %

52.3%

51.5%

Return Points Won vs 1st Serve %

26.4%

34.9%

Return Points Won vs 2nd Serve %

43.2%

53.4%

Aces per Service Game

0.71

0.41

Double Faults per Service Game

0.25

0.14

Based on each player's last 10 Challenger matches.

Break Point Performance

How each player handles the biggest points - break points saved serving, and converted returning - from their last 10 matches at the selected level.

Terence Atmane Alejandro Tabilo

Break Points Saved %

64.3%

60.9%

Break Points Converted %

44.2%

32.6%

Based on each player's last 10 ATP/Grand Slam matches.

Break Points Saved %

67.1%

73.0%

Break Points Converted %

32.1%

43.7%

Based on each player's last 10 Challenger matches.

Head-to-Head

Terence Atmane 0 – 0 Alejandro Tabilo

Hard Washington · 2026-07-30

R16

Alejandro Tabilo #30

Terence Atmane #56

6-3 7-6

7 Aces 11

3 Double Faults 4

67 Service Points 68

37 First Serve In 41

30 First Serve Won 34

15 Second Serve Won 14

2 Break Points Saved 2

4 Break Points Faced 2

15 Winners 28

29 Unforced Errors 29

2.0 Average Odds 1.8

Terence Atmane vs Alejandro Tabilo — Prediction