ATP tennis predict — Taylor Fritz vs Zizou Bergs

ATP Hard Washington · 1. round

Predicted probability

Taylor Fritz

USA

71.57%

Zizou Bergs

Belgium

28.43%

Average Odds

1.22 / 4.17

Market probability

77.37% / 22.63%

Why This Prediction?

Taylor Fritz is the favorite because he has a higher Elo rating (1910 vs 1811), a higher Elo rating on hard courts (1845 vs 1742) and a stronger serve (72.8% vs 63.1% of service points won).

Player Comparison

1909.8 Elo 1811.0

1844.9 Elo (surface) 1741.8

387 Wins 109

266 Wins (surface) 67

11 Last 15 form 8

1 Head-to-head wins 0

1.164 Dominance ratio 0.990

16 Rank 62

28.7 Age 27.2

right Hand right

Performance vs. the Odds

Career record grouped by how big a favorite the market made each player, based on their average odds.

Taylor Fritz

Heavy favorite (odds below 1.30) 11W–3L · 78.6%

Favorite (odds 1.30-1.80) 6W–3L · 66.7%

Even match (odds 1.80-2.20) 0W–0L · 0.0%

Underdog (odds 2.20-4.00) 1W–0L · 100.0%

Heavy underdog (odds above 4.00) 0W–0L · 0.0%

24 matches with market odds since 2026-05-24.

Zizou Bergs

Heavy favorite (odds below 1.30) 2W–0L · 100.0%

Favorite (odds 1.30-1.80) 7W–3L · 70.0%

Even match (odds 1.80-2.20) 0W–2L · 0.0%

Underdog (odds 2.20-4.00) 2W–2L · 50.0%

Heavy underdog (odds above 4.00) 0W–2L · 0.0%

20 matches with market odds since 2026-05-24.

Serve & Return

Serve and return win rates from each player's last 10 matches at the selected level.

Taylor Fritz Zizou Bergs

1st Serve In %

61.5%

60.9%

1st Serve Points Won %

80.5%

72.8%

2nd Serve Points Won %

48.0%

46.2%

Return Points Won vs 1st Serve %

27.5%

29.7%

Return Points Won vs 2nd Serve %

50.6%

52.6%

Aces per Service Game

0.75

0.50

Double Faults per Service Game

0.23

0.37

Based on each player's last 10 ATP/Grand Slam matches.

1st Serve In %

64.6%

58.0%

1st Serve Points Won %

80.8%

77.5%

2nd Serve Points Won %

55.6%

48.8%

Return Points Won vs 1st Serve %

30.5%

33.0%

Return Points Won vs 2nd Serve %

49.8%

49.5%

Aces per Service Game

0.88

0.56

Double Faults per Service Game

0.17

0.38

Based on each player's last 10 Challenger matches.

Break Point Performance

How each player handles the biggest points - break points saved serving, and converted returning - from their last 10 matches at the selected level.

Taylor Fritz Zizou Bergs

Break Points Saved %

65.0%

46.8%

Break Points Converted %

35.7%

41.6%

Based on each player's last 10 ATP/Grand Slam matches.

Break Points Saved %

74.4%

58.3%

Break Points Converted %

42.4%

42.5%

Based on each player's last 10 Challenger matches.

Head-to-Head

Taylor Fritz 1 – 0 Zizou Bergs

Hard Washington · 2026-07-27

1. round

Taylor Fritz #10

Zizou Bergs #36

6-3 6-4

8 Aces 5

3 Double Faults 5

63 Service Points 55

32 First Serve In 26

25 First Serve Won 20

21 Second Serve Won 13

4 Break Points Saved 2

4 Break Points Faced 4

14 Winners 16

16 Unforced Errors 32

1.2 Average Odds 4.2

Grass Halle · 2026-06-17

1. round

Taylor Fritz #9

Zizou Bergs #48

7-6 5-7 6-4

15 Aces 16

7 Double Faults 3

110 Service Points 98

62 First Serve In 58

47 First Serve Won 46

27 Second Serve Won 24

3 Break Points Saved 4

5 Break Points Faced 6

41 Winners 34

42 Unforced Errors 30

1.2 Average Odds 4.1

Taylor Fritz vs Zizou Bergs — Prediction