ATP tennis predict — Taylor Fritz vs Kamil Majchrzak

ATP Hard Washington · R16

Predicted probability

Taylor Fritz

USA

79.53%

Kamil Majchrzak

Poland

20.47%

Average Odds

1.29 / 3.62

Market probability

73.73% / 26.27%

Why This Prediction?

Taylor Fritz is the favorite because he has a higher Elo rating (1916 vs 1780), a higher Elo rating on hard courts (1852 vs 1710) and a stronger serve (73.4% vs 68.5% of service points won).

Player Comparison

1916.3 Elo 1780.5

1852.2 Elo (surface) 1710.5

388 Wins 106

267 Wins (surface) 66

12 Last 15 form 10

1 Head-to-head wins 0

1.232 Dominance ratio 1.114

10 Rank 72

28.8 Age 30.5

right Hand right

Performance vs. the Odds

Career record grouped by how big a favorite the market made each player, based on their average odds.

Taylor Fritz

Heavy favorite (odds below 1.30) 11W–3L · 78.6%

Favorite (odds 1.30-1.80) 6W–3L · 66.7%

Even match (odds 1.80-2.20) 0W–0L · 0.0%

Underdog (odds 2.20-4.00) 1W–0L · 100.0%

Heavy underdog (odds above 4.00) 0W–0L · 0.0%

24 matches with market odds since 2026-05-24.

Kamil Majchrzak

Heavy favorite (odds below 1.30) 0W–1L · 0.0%

Favorite (odds 1.30-1.80) 5W–3L · 62.5%

Even match (odds 1.80-2.20) 2W–2L · 50.0%

Underdog (odds 2.20-4.00) 1W–1L · 50.0%

Heavy underdog (odds above 4.00) 0W–1L · 0.0%

16 matches with market odds since 2026-05-26.

Serve & Return

Serve and return win rates from each player's last 10 matches at the selected level.

Taylor Fritz Kamil Majchrzak

1st Serve In %

61.5%

59.0%

1st Serve Points Won %

80.5%

75.0%

2nd Serve Points Won %

48.0%

54.9%

Return Points Won vs 1st Serve %

27.5%

26.7%

Return Points Won vs 2nd Serve %

50.6%

50.5%

Aces per Service Game

0.75

0.74

Double Faults per Service Game

0.23

0.29

Based on each player's last 10 ATP/Grand Slam matches.

1st Serve In %

64.6%

64.7%

1st Serve Points Won %

80.8%

71.0%

2nd Serve Points Won %

55.6%

53.0%

Return Points Won vs 1st Serve %

30.5%

27.9%

Return Points Won vs 2nd Serve %

49.8%

50.8%

Aces per Service Game

0.88

0.50

Double Faults per Service Game

0.17

0.10

Based on each player's last 10 Challenger matches.

Break Point Performance

How each player handles the biggest points - break points saved serving, and converted returning - from their last 10 matches at the selected level.

Taylor Fritz Kamil Majchrzak

Break Points Saved %

65.0%

58.8%

Break Points Converted %

35.7%

31.3%

Based on each player's last 10 ATP/Grand Slam matches.

Break Points Saved %

74.4%

68.9%

Break Points Converted %

42.4%

42.9%

Based on each player's last 10 Challenger matches.

Head-to-Head

Taylor Fritz 1 – 0 Kamil Majchrzak

Hard Washington · 2026-07-29

R16

Taylor Fritz #10

Kamil Majchrzak #72

6-3 6-4

14 Aces 6

3 Double Faults 2

47 Service Points 74

31 First Serve In 40

28 First Serve Won 26

12 Second Serve Won 18

0 Break Points Saved 8

0 Break Points Faced 10

32 Winners 12

27 Unforced Errors 24

1.3 Average Odds 3.6

Hard Indian Wells Masters · 2022-03-07

R64

Taylor Fritz #20

Kamil Majchrzak #75

6-1 6-1

8 Aces 1

3 Double Faults 2

43 Service Points 45

18 First Serve In 25

14 First Serve Won 16

16 Second Serve Won 4

1 Break Points Saved 6

1 Break Points Faced 11

- Winners -

- Unforced Errors -

- Average Odds -

Taylor Fritz vs Kamil Majchrzak — Prediction