ATP tennis predict — Taylor Fritz vs Darwin Blanch

Grand Slam Hard US Open · 1. round 19:00

Predicted probability

Taylor Fritz

USA

83.58%

Darwin Blanch

USA

16.42%

Average Odds

1.02 / 16.35

Market probability

94.13% / 5.87%

Why This Prediction?

Taylor Fritz is the favorite because he has a higher Elo rating on hard courts (1873 vs 1378), a higher Elo rating (1936 vs 1540) and a stronger serve (70.1% vs 62.3% of service points won).

Player Comparison

1935.8 Elo 1539.7

1873.2 Elo (surface) 1378.5

395 Wins 7

274 Wins (surface) 5

12 Last 15 form 6

0 Head-to-head wins 0

1.175 Dominance ratio 0.831

10 Rank 245

28.8 Age 18.9

right Hand left

Performance vs. the Odds

Career record grouped by how big a favorite the market made each player, based on their average odds.

Taylor Fritz

Heavy favorite (odds below 1.30) 11W–3L · 78.6%

Favorite (odds 1.30-1.80) 6W–3L · 66.7%

Even match (odds 1.80-2.20) 0W–0L · 0.0%

Underdog (odds 2.20-4.00) 1W–0L · 100.0%

Heavy underdog (odds above 4.00) 0W–0L · 0.0%

24 matches with market odds since 2026-05-24.

Darwin Blanch

Heavy favorite (odds below 1.30) 1W–0L · 100.0%

Favorite (odds 1.30-1.80) 4W–2L · 66.7%

Even match (odds 1.80-2.20) 1W–2L · 33.3%

Underdog (odds 2.20-4.00) 1W–3L · 25.0%

Heavy underdog (odds above 4.00) 0W–1L · 0.0%

15 matches with market odds since 2026-06-22.

Serve & Return

Serve and return win rates from each player's last 10 matches at the selected level.

Taylor Fritz Darwin Blanch

1st Serve In %

61.5%

58.6%

1st Serve Points Won %

80.5%

72.1%

2nd Serve Points Won %

48.0%

47.6%

Return Points Won vs 1st Serve %

27.5%

28.0%

Return Points Won vs 2nd Serve %

50.6%

45.2%

Aces per Service Game

0.75

0.41

Double Faults per Service Game

0.23

0.27

Based on each player's last 10 ATP/Grand Slam matches.

1st Serve In %

64.6%

61.7%

1st Serve Points Won %

80.8%

76.2%

2nd Serve Points Won %

55.6%

51.3%

Return Points Won vs 1st Serve %

30.5%

25.8%

Return Points Won vs 2nd Serve %

49.8%

54.7%

Aces per Service Game

0.88

0.36

Double Faults per Service Game

0.17

0.31

Based on each player's last 10 Challenger matches.

Break Point Performance

How each player handles the biggest points - break points saved serving, and converted returning - from their last 10 matches at the selected level.

Taylor Fritz Darwin Blanch

Break Points Saved %

65.0%

56.5%

Break Points Converted %

35.7%

33.9%

Based on each player's last 10 ATP/Grand Slam matches.

Break Points Saved %

74.4%

55.3%

Break Points Converted %

42.4%

42.6%

Based on each player's last 10 Challenger matches.

Head-to-Head

Taylor Fritz 0 – 0 Darwin Blanch

Hard US Open · 2026-09-01

1. round

Taylor Fritz #10

Darwin Blanch #245

6-3 6-2 6-4

14 Aces 1

1 Double Faults 9

73 Service Points 90

54 First Serve In 39

49 First Serve Won 26

8 Second Serve Won 26

2 Break Points Saved 12

2 Break Points Faced 16

29 Winners 20

15 Unforced Errors 33

1.0 Average Odds 16.4

Taylor Fritz vs Darwin Blanch — Prediction