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Taro Daniel vs Juan Carlos Prado Angelo — Prediction

ATP Clay Estoril · qualification - round of 16

Predicted probability

Taro Daniel

Japan

59.13%

Average Odds

1.60  /  2.24

Market probability

58.33%  /  41.67%

Why This Prediction?

Taro Daniel is the favorite because he has a higher Elo rating (1751 vs 1578), a higher Elo rating on clay courts (1744 vs 1611) and more wins on clay courts (124 vs 79).

Player Comparison

1751.0 Elo 1577.8
1743.7 Elo (surface) 1611.0
217 Wins 5
79 Wins (surface) 4
7 Last 15 form 5
0 Head-to-head wins 0
0.847 Dominance ratio 0.983
194 Rank 173
33.5 Age 21.4
right Hand right

Performance vs. the Odds

Career record grouped by how big a favorite the market made each player, based on their average odds.

Taro Daniel

Heavy favorite (odds below 1.30) 5W–1L · 83.3%
Favorite (odds 1.30-1.80) 9W–2L · 81.8%
Even match (odds 1.80-2.20) 4W–2L · 66.7%
Underdog (odds 2.20-4.00) 5W–2L · 71.4%
Heavy underdog (odds above 4.00) 0W–0L · 0.0%

30 matches with market odds since 2026-05-25.

Juan Carlos Prado Angelo

Heavy favorite (odds below 1.30) 1W–0L · 100.0%
Favorite (odds 1.30-1.80) 1W–1L · 50.0%
Even match (odds 1.80-2.20) 2W–1L · 66.7%
Underdog (odds 2.20-4.00) 2W–7L · 22.2%
Heavy underdog (odds above 4.00) 0W–0L · 0.0%

15 matches with market odds since 2026-05-26.

Serve & Return

Serve and return win rates from each player's last 10 matches at the selected level.

Taro Daniel Juan Carlos Prado Angelo

1st Serve In %

64.3%
62.1%

1st Serve Points Won %

62.3%
65.7%

2nd Serve Points Won %

45.4%
53.0%

Return Points Won vs 1st Serve %

28.7%
35.8%

Return Points Won vs 2nd Serve %

48.9%
50.0%

Aces per Service Game

0.32
0.16

Double Faults per Service Game

0.18
0.19

Based on each player's last 10 ATP/Grand Slam matches.

1st Serve In %

62.1%
57.8%

1st Serve Points Won %

63.0%
68.5%

2nd Serve Points Won %

48.5%
50.5%

Return Points Won vs 1st Serve %

29.8%
33.2%

Return Points Won vs 2nd Serve %

45.9%
50.8%

Aces per Service Game

0.48
0.16

Double Faults per Service Game

0.21
0.28

Based on each player's last 10 Challenger matches.

Break Point Performance

How each player handles the biggest points - break points saved serving, and converted returning - from their last 10 matches at the selected level.

Taro Daniel Juan Carlos Prado Angelo

Break Points Saved %

51.6%
62.1%

Break Points Converted %

33.3%
50.0%

Based on each player's last 10 ATP/Grand Slam matches.

Break Points Saved %

59.0%
56.2%

Break Points Converted %

54.8%
42.5%

Based on each player's last 10 Challenger matches.

Head-to-Head

Taro Daniel 00 Juan Carlos Prado Angelo

Clay Estoril · 2026-07-18

qualification - round of 16

Taro Daniel #194

Juan Carlos Prado Angelo #173

6-4 6-2
2 Aces 2
1 Double Faults 2
52 Service Points 54
31 First Serve In 31
25 First Serve Won 21
10 Second Serve Won 8
1 Break Points Saved 3
2 Break Points Faced 7
- Winners -
- Unforced Errors -
1.6 Average Odds 2.2

Taro Daniel — Last 10

W W L W L W L W W W

Juan Carlos Prado Angelo — Last 10

W L L W W L W W L L