ATP tennis predict — Taro Daniel vs Jake Delaney

ATP Hard Hangzhou · qualification - round of 16 06:10

Predicted probability

Taro Daniel

Japan

80.34%

Jake Delaney

Australia

19.66%

Average Odds

1.23 / 3.94

Market probability

76.21% / 23.79%

Why This Prediction?

Taro Daniel is the favorite because he has a higher Elo rating (1791 vs 1457), a higher Elo rating on hard courts (1666 vs 1467) and more wins on hard courts (129 vs 0).

Player Comparison

1790.5 Elo 1456.6

1666.2 Elo (surface) 1467.1

219 Wins 0

129 Wins (surface) 0

9 Last 15 form 0

2 Head-to-head wins 0

0.827 Dominance ratio 0.624

193 Rank 342

33.6 Age 29.4

right Hand right

Performance vs. the Odds

Career record grouped by how big a favorite the market made each player, based on their average odds.

Taro Daniel

Heavy favorite (odds below 1.30) 5W–1L · 83.3%

Favorite (odds 1.30-1.80) 9W–2L · 81.8%

Even match (odds 1.80-2.20) 4W–2L · 66.7%

Underdog (odds 2.20-4.00) 5W–2L · 71.4%

Heavy underdog (odds above 4.00) 0W–0L · 0.0%

30 matches with market odds since 2026-05-25.

Jake Delaney

Heavy favorite (odds below 1.30) 0W–0L · 0.0%

Favorite (odds 1.30-1.80) 1W–1L · 50.0%

Even match (odds 1.80-2.20) 0W–0L · 0.0%

Underdog (odds 2.20-4.00) 1W–3L · 25.0%

Heavy underdog (odds above 4.00) 0W–0L · 0.0%

6 matches with market odds since 2026-09-01.

Serve & Return

Serve and return win rates from each player's last 10 matches at the selected level.

Taro Daniel Jake Delaney

1st Serve In %

64.3%

65.6%

1st Serve Points Won %

62.3%

66.7%

2nd Serve Points Won %

45.4%

40.0%

Return Points Won vs 1st Serve %

28.7%

22.2%

Return Points Won vs 2nd Serve %

48.9%

46.5%

Aces per Service Game

0.32

1.00

Double Faults per Service Game

0.18

0.30

Based on each player's last 10 ATP/Grand Slam matches.

1st Serve In %

62.1%

60.5%

1st Serve Points Won %

63.0%

71.6%

2nd Serve Points Won %

48.5%

54.5%

Return Points Won vs 1st Serve %

29.8%

26.1%

Return Points Won vs 2nd Serve %

45.9%

48.5%

Aces per Service Game

0.48

0.69

Double Faults per Service Game

0.21

0.26

Based on each player's last 10 Challenger matches.

Break Point Performance

How each player handles the biggest points - break points saved serving, and converted returning - from their last 10 matches at the selected level.

Taro Daniel Jake Delaney

Break Points Saved %

51.6%

65.4%

Break Points Converted %

33.3%

16.7%

Based on each player's last 10 ATP/Grand Slam matches.

Break Points Saved %

59.0%

71.0%

Break Points Converted %

54.8%

32.7%

Based on each player's last 10 Challenger matches.

Head-to-Head

Taro Daniel 2 – 0 Jake Delaney

Hard Hangzhou · 2026-09-22

qualification - round of 16

Taro Daniel #193

Jake Delaney #342

6-3 6-4

5 Aces 15

0 Double Faults 2

- Service Points -

- First Serve In -

28 First Serve Won 32

14 Second Serve Won 10

1 Break Points Saved 8

1 Break Points Faced 10

- Winners -

- Unforced Errors -

1.2 Average Odds 3.9

Hard Cuernavaca CH · 2026-03-16

R32

Taro Daniel #451

Jake Delaney #501

6-4 6-2

6 Aces 6

1 Double Faults 1

47 Service Points 58

31 First Serve In 42

28 First Serve Won 29

9 Second Serve Won 7

0 Break Points Saved 3

0 Break Points Faced 6

- Winners -

- Unforced Errors -

- Average Odds -

Hard Brisbane 1 CH · 2026-02-02

R32

Taro Daniel #400

Jake Delaney #469

6-3 7-5

7 Aces 6

0 Double Faults 2

48 Service Points 65

32 First Serve In 40

28 First Serve Won 26

10 Second Serve Won 10

1 Break Points Saved 3

2 Break Points Faced 7

- Winners -

- Unforced Errors -

- Average Odds -

Taro Daniel vs Jake Delaney — Prediction

Why This Prediction?

Player Comparison

Performance vs. the Odds

Serve & Return

Break Point Performance

Head-to-Head

Taro Daniel — Last 10

Jake Delaney — Last 10