ATP tennis predict — Tallon Griekspoor vs Andrey Rublev

ATP Hard Beijing · 1. round 04:00

Predicted probability

Tallon Griekspoor

Netherlands

31.31%

Andrey Rublev

Russia

68.69%

Average Odds

2.62 / 1.47

Market probability

35.94% / 64.06%

Why This Prediction?

Andrey Rublev is the favorite because he has a higher Elo rating on hard courts (1945 vs 1898), a higher Elo rating (2029 vs 1901) and a stronger return game (40.1% vs 34.5% of return points won).

Player Comparison

1900.9 Elo 2029.4

1898.3 Elo (surface) 1944.6

162 Wins 441

100 Wins (surface) 294

5 Last 15 form 10

1 Head-to-head wins 3

1.101 Dominance ratio 1.240

55 Rank 24

30.2 Age 28.9

right Hand right

Performance vs. the Odds

Career record grouped by how big a favorite the market made each player, based on their average odds.

Tallon Griekspoor

Heavy favorite (odds below 1.30) 0W–0L · 0.0%

Favorite (odds 1.30-1.80) 1W–5L · 16.7%

Even match (odds 1.80-2.20) 1W–2L · 33.3%

Underdog (odds 2.20-4.00) 0W–0L · 0.0%

Heavy underdog (odds above 4.00) 1W–1L · 50.0%

11 matches with market odds since 2026-05-26.

Andrey Rublev

Heavy favorite (odds below 1.30) 4W–2L · 66.7%

Favorite (odds 1.30-1.80) 9W–4L · 69.2%

Even match (odds 1.80-2.20) 0W–1L · 0.0%

Underdog (odds 2.20-4.00) 0W–0L · 0.0%

Heavy underdog (odds above 4.00) 0W–0L · 0.0%

20 matches with market odds since 2026-05-25.

Serve & Return

Serve and return win rates from each player's last 10 matches at the selected level.

Tallon Griekspoor Andrey Rublev

1st Serve In %

61.4%

59.9%

1st Serve Points Won %

76.2%

72.7%

2nd Serve Points Won %

56.6%

48.9%

Return Points Won vs 1st Serve %

24.0%

30.8%

Return Points Won vs 2nd Serve %

49.3%

44.4%

Aces per Service Game

0.68

0.61

Double Faults per Service Game

0.24

0.27

Based on each player's last 10 ATP/Grand Slam matches.

1st Serve In %

62.6%

58.8%

1st Serve Points Won %

72.9%

74.5%

2nd Serve Points Won %

58.2%

48.1%

Return Points Won vs 1st Serve %

31.8%

35.7%

Return Points Won vs 2nd Serve %

54.1%

55.8%

Aces per Service Game

0.53

0.28

Double Faults per Service Game

0.22

0.18

Based on each player's last 10 Challenger matches.

Break Point Performance

How each player handles the biggest points - break points saved serving, and converted returning - from their last 10 matches at the selected level.

Tallon Griekspoor Andrey Rublev

Break Points Saved %

61.8%

67.4%

Break Points Converted %

43.9%

39.1%

Based on each player's last 10 ATP/Grand Slam matches.

Break Points Saved %

55.0%

56.5%

Break Points Converted %

40.5%

48.6%

Based on each player's last 10 Challenger matches.

Head-to-Head

Tallon Griekspoor 1 – 3 Andrey Rublev

Hard Dubai · 2026-02-23

SF

Tallon Griekspoor #25

Andrey Rublev #18

7-5 7-6(6)

19 Aces 20

2 Double Faults 2

82 Service Points 70

57 First Serve In 47

42 First Serve Won 40

17 Second Serve Won 13

6 Break Points Saved 0

6 Break Points Faced 1

- Winners -

- Unforced Errors -

- Average Odds -

Clay Madrid Masters · 2024-04-22

R16

Andrey Rublev #8

Tallon Griekspoor #25

6-2 6-4

8 Aces 6

1 Double Faults 1

43 Service Points 57

33 First Serve In 41

32 First Serve Won 26

4 Second Serve Won 7

0 Break Points Saved 4

0 Break Points Faced 7

- Winners -

- Unforced Errors -

- Average Odds -

Grass Halle · 2023-06-19

QF

Andrey Rublev #7

Tallon Griekspoor #29

3-6 6-3 6-4

13 Aces 16

1 Double Faults 2

75 Service Points 92

54 First Serve In 62

42 First Serve Won 46

10 Second Serve Won 10

3 Break Points Saved 6

6 Break Points Faced 10

- Winners -

- Unforced Errors -

- Average Odds -

Hard Doha · 2023-02-20

R16

Andrey Rublev #5

Tallon Griekspoor #40

1-6 6-1 7-6(6)

10 Aces 6

3 Double Faults 4

77 Service Points 90

46 First Serve In 46

36 First Serve Won 34

16 Second Serve Won 22

2 Break Points Saved 3

5 Break Points Faced 6

- Winners -

- Unforced Errors -

- Average Odds -

Tallon Griekspoor vs Andrey Rublev — Prediction

Why This Prediction?

Player Comparison

Performance vs. the Odds

Serve & Return

Break Point Performance

Head-to-Head

Tallon Griekspoor — Last 10

Andrey Rublev — Last 10