ATP tennis predict — Takuya Kumasaka vs Martin Borisiouk

Challenger Hard Phan Thiet 3 challenger · qualification - 1. round 08:35

Predicted probability

Takuya Kumasaka

Japan

70.91%

Martin Borisiouk

Belarus

29.09%

Average Odds

2.12 / 1.66

Market probability

43.92% / 56.08%

Why This Prediction?

Takuya Kumasaka is the favorite because he has a higher Elo rating (1419 vs 1344), more career match wins (24 vs 4) and a stronger serve (68.3% vs 65.4% of service points won).

Player Comparison

1418.9 Elo 1343.7

1431.7 Elo (surface) 1375.8

24 Wins (Challenger) 4

24 Wins (surface) 4

5 Last 15 form 4

0 Head-to-head wins 0

1.223 Dominance ratio 1.083

548 Rank 1003

27.9 Age 26.2

right Hand right

Performance vs. the Odds

Career record grouped by how big a favorite the market made each player, based on their average odds.

Takuya Kumasaka

Heavy favorite (odds below 1.30) 1W–0L · 100.0%

Favorite (odds 1.30-1.80) 2W–1L · 66.7%

Even match (odds 1.80-2.20) 0W–2L · 0.0%

Underdog (odds 2.20-4.00) 1W–4L · 20.0%

Heavy underdog (odds above 4.00) 0W–0L · 0.0%

11 matches with market odds since 2026-07-12.

Martin Borisiouk

Heavy favorite (odds below 1.30) 2W–0L · 100.0%

Favorite (odds 1.30-1.80) 3W–3L · 50.0%

Even match (odds 1.80-2.20) 0W–0L · 0.0%

Underdog (odds 2.20-4.00) 0W–0L · 0.0%

Heavy underdog (odds above 4.00) 0W–0L · 0.0%

8 matches with market odds since 2026-08-09.

Serve & Return

Serve and return win rates from each player's last 10 matches at the selected level.

Takuya Kumasaka Martin Borisiouk

1st Serve In %

—

53.3%

1st Serve Points Won %

—

54.2%

2nd Serve Points Won %

—

28.6%

Return Points Won vs 1st Serve %

—

22.2%

Return Points Won vs 2nd Serve %

—

43.8%

Aces per Service Game

—

0.43

Double Faults per Service Game

—

0.71

Based on each player's last 10 ATP/Grand Slam matches.

1st Serve In %

58.8%

60.8%

1st Serve Points Won %

72.4%

75.1%

2nd Serve Points Won %

53.9%

60.1%

Return Points Won vs 1st Serve %

31.1%

26.2%

Return Points Won vs 2nd Serve %

48.3%

53.7%

Aces per Service Game

0.35

0.41

Double Faults per Service Game

0.27

0.35

Based on each player's last 10 Challenger matches.

Break Point Performance

How each player handles the biggest points - break points saved serving, and converted returning - from their last 10 matches at the selected level.

Takuya Kumasaka Martin Borisiouk

Break Points Saved %

—

28.6%

Break Points Converted %

—

0.0%

Based on each player's last 10 ATP/Grand Slam matches.

Break Points Saved %

64.6%

72.9%

Break Points Converted %

34.2%

38.9%

Based on each player's last 10 Challenger matches.

Head-to-Head

Takuya Kumasaka 0 – 0 Martin Borisiouk

Hard Phan Thiet 3 challenger · 2026-09-06

qualification - 1. round

Martin Borisiouk #1003

Takuya Kumasaka #548

6-4 6-2

2 Aces 9

4 Double Faults 2

77 Service Points 51

43 First Serve In 34

26 First Serve Won 23

16 Second Serve Won 11

12 Break Points Saved 2

16 Break Points Faced 3

- Winners -

- Unforced Errors -

1.7 Average Odds 2.1

Takuya Kumasaka vs Martin Borisiouk — Prediction