ATP tennis predict — Taiyo Yamanaka vs Nikita Ianin

Challenger Hard Phan Thiet 3 challenger · qualification - 1. round 05:10

Predicted probability

Taiyo Yamanaka

Japan

82.91%

Nikita Ianin

Russia

17.09%

Average Odds

1.35 / 2.96

Market probability

68.68% / 31.32%

Why This Prediction?

Taiyo Yamanaka is the favorite because he has more career match wins (8 vs 0), better recent form (8 wins in his last 15 matches vs 0) and more wins on hard courts (8 vs 0).

Player Comparison

1452.6 Elo 1500

1461.3 Elo (surface) 1500

8 Wins (Challenger) 0

8 Wins (surface) 0

8 Last 15 form 0

0 Head-to-head wins 0

1.115 Dominance ratio 1.115

830 Rank 1017

25.0 Age 25.0

right Hand right

Performance vs. the Odds

Career record grouped by how big a favorite the market made each player, based on their average odds.

Taiyo Yamanaka

Heavy favorite (odds below 1.30) 0W–0L · 0.0%

Favorite (odds 1.30-1.80) 1W–0L · 100.0%

Even match (odds 1.80-2.20) 1W–1L · 50.0%

Underdog (odds 2.20-4.00) 0W–1L · 0.0%

Heavy underdog (odds above 4.00) 0W–0L · 0.0%

4 matches with market odds since 2026-09-06.

Nikita Ianin

Heavy favorite (odds below 1.30) 0W–0L · 0.0%

Favorite (odds 1.30-1.80) 0W–0L · 0.0%

Even match (odds 1.80-2.20) 0W–0L · 0.0%

Underdog (odds 2.20-4.00) 0W–1L · 0.0%

Heavy underdog (odds above 4.00) 0W–1L · 0.0%

2 matches with market odds since 2026-09-06.

Serve & Return

Serve and return win rates from each player's last 10 matches at the selected level.

Taiyo Yamanaka Nikita Ianin

Not enough ATP/Grand Slam match history yet.

1st Serve In %

56.9%

69.8%

1st Serve Points Won %

72.5%

73.0%

2nd Serve Points Won %

47.8%

56.2%

Return Points Won vs 1st Serve %

31.9%

33.3%

Return Points Won vs 2nd Serve %

44.7%

62.1%

Aces per Service Game

0.53

0.17

Double Faults per Service Game

0.32

0.28

Based on each player's last 10 Challenger matches.

Break Point Performance

How each player handles the biggest points - break points saved serving, and converted returning - from their last 10 matches at the selected level.

Taiyo Yamanaka Nikita Ianin

Not enough ATP/Grand Slam match history yet.

Break Points Saved %

58.9%

50.0%

Break Points Converted %

43.9%

47.1%

Based on each player's last 10 Challenger matches.

Head-to-Head

Taiyo Yamanaka 0 – 0 Nikita Ianin

Hard Phan Thiet 3 challenger · 2026-09-06

qualification - 1. round

Taiyo Yamanaka #830

Nikita Ianin #1017

6-4 6-4

8 Aces 1

5 Double Faults 4

65 Service Points 53

36 First Serve In 37

24 First Serve Won 27

11 Second Serve Won 9

7 Break Points Saved 2

11 Break Points Faced 4

- Winners -

- Unforced Errors -

1.4 Average Odds 3.0

Taiyo Yamanaka vs Nikita Ianin — Prediction