ATP tennis predict — Taisei Ichikawa vs Noritaka Koizumi

Challenger Hard Phan Thiet 3 challenger · qualification - 1. round 05:10

Predicted probability

Taisei Ichikawa

Japan

86.23%

Noritaka Koizumi

Japan

13.77%

Average Odds

1.57 / 2.26

Market probability

59.01% / 40.99%

Why This Prediction?

Taisei Ichikawa is the favorite because he has a higher Elo rating on hard courts (1590 vs 1500), more career match wins (23 vs 0) and a higher Elo rating (1586 vs 1500).

Player Comparison

1586.0 Elo 1500

1589.6 Elo (surface) 1500

23 Wins (Challenger) 0

23 Wins (surface) 0

9 Last 15 form 0

0 Head-to-head wins 0

0.975 Dominance ratio 0.975

768 Rank 939

25.7 Age 23.2

left Hand right

Performance vs. the Odds

Career record grouped by how big a favorite the market made each player, based on their average odds.

Taisei Ichikawa

Heavy favorite (odds below 1.30) 1W–0L · 100.0%

Favorite (odds 1.30-1.80) 2W–1L · 66.7%

Even match (odds 1.80-2.20) 0W–1L · 0.0%

Underdog (odds 2.20-4.00) 1W–1L · 50.0%

Heavy underdog (odds above 4.00) 0W–0L · 0.0%

7 matches with market odds since 2026-08-09.

Noritaka Koizumi

Heavy favorite (odds below 1.30) 0W–0L · 0.0%

Favorite (odds 1.30-1.80) 0W–0L · 0.0%

Even match (odds 1.80-2.20) 0W–0L · 0.0%

Underdog (odds 2.20-4.00) 0W–1L · 0.0%

Heavy underdog (odds above 4.00) 0W–0L · 0.0%

1 matches with market odds since 2026-09-06.

Serve & Return

Serve and return win rates from each player's last 10 matches at the selected level.

Taisei Ichikawa Noritaka Koizumi

Not enough ATP/Grand Slam match history yet.

1st Serve In %

57.8%

67.2%

1st Serve Points Won %

65.6%

74.4%

2nd Serve Points Won %

48.3%

52.6%

Return Points Won vs 1st Serve %

30.9%

44.4%

Return Points Won vs 2nd Serve %

52.5%

69.2%

Aces per Service Game

0.42

0.38

Double Faults per Service Game

0.35

0.38

Based on each player's last 10 Challenger matches.

Break Point Performance

How each player handles the biggest points - break points saved serving, and converted returning - from their last 10 matches at the selected level.

Taisei Ichikawa Noritaka Koizumi

Not enough ATP/Grand Slam match history yet.

Break Points Saved %

59.6%

100.0%

Break Points Converted %

33.8%

44.4%

Based on each player's last 10 Challenger matches.

Head-to-Head

Taisei Ichikawa 0 – 0 Noritaka Koizumi

Hard Phan Thiet 3 challenger · 2026-09-06

qualification - 1. round

Taisei Ichikawa #768

Noritaka Koizumi #939

6-4 6-1

2 Aces 3

2 Double Faults 3

58 Service Points 58

45 First Serve In 39

25 First Serve Won 29

4 Second Serve Won 10

5 Break Points Saved 6

9 Break Points Faced 6

- Winners -

- Unforced Errors -

1.6 Average Odds 2.3

Taisei Ichikawa vs Noritaka Koizumi — Prediction