ATP tennis predict — Szymon Kielan vs Yanis Ghazouani Durand

Challenger Clay Porto 2 challenger · qualification - 1. round 11:00

Predicted probability

Szymon Kielan

Poland

38.64%

Yanis Ghazouani Durand

France

61.36%

Average Odds

3.58 / 1.26

Market probability

26.03% / 73.97%

Why This Prediction?

Yanis Ghazouani Durand is the favorite because he has a higher Elo rating (1455 vs 1383), a higher Elo rating on clay courts (1462 vs 1393) and fewer double faults per game (0.14 vs 0.33).

Player Comparison

1383.0 Elo 1455.5

1393.2 Elo (surface) 1462.4

4 Wins (Challenger) 4

3 Wins (surface) 1

3 Last 15 form 4

0 Head-to-head wins 0

0.781 Dominance ratio 0.920

1331 Rank 584

23.8 Age 26.2

right Hand right

Performance vs. the Odds

Career record grouped by how big a favorite the market made each player, based on their average odds.

Szymon Kielan

Heavy favorite (odds below 1.30) 0W–0L · 0.0%

Favorite (odds 1.30-1.80) 0W–0L · 0.0%

Even match (odds 1.80-2.20) 0W–0L · 0.0%

Underdog (odds 2.20-4.00) 1W–0L · 100.0%

Heavy underdog (odds above 4.00) 1W–2L · 33.3%

4 matches with market odds since 2026-05-24.

Yanis Ghazouani Durand

Heavy favorite (odds below 1.30) 3W–1L · 75.0%

Favorite (odds 1.30-1.80) 2W–0L · 100.0%

Even match (odds 1.80-2.20) 2W–0L · 100.0%

Underdog (odds 2.20-4.00) 0W–3L · 0.0%

Heavy underdog (odds above 4.00) 0W–1L · 0.0%

12 matches with market odds since 2026-05-24.

Serve & Return

Serve and return win rates from each player's last 10 matches at the selected level.

Szymon Kielan Yanis Ghazouani Durand

Not enough ATP/Grand Slam match history yet.

1st Serve In %

59.1%

59.4%

1st Serve Points Won %

66.2%

70.9%

2nd Serve Points Won %

36.4%

61.1%

Return Points Won vs 1st Serve %

30.6%

28.8%

Return Points Won vs 2nd Serve %

50.0%

61.1%

Aces per Service Game

0.38

0.34

Double Faults per Service Game

0.59

0.38

Based on each player's last 10 Challenger matches.

Break Point Performance

How each player handles the biggest points - break points saved serving, and converted returning - from their last 10 matches at the selected level.

Szymon Kielan Yanis Ghazouani Durand

Not enough ATP/Grand Slam match history yet.

Break Points Saved %

61.4%

54.3%

Break Points Converted %

43.8%

44.9%

Based on each player's last 10 Challenger matches.

Head-to-Head

Szymon Kielan 0 – 0 Yanis Ghazouani Durand

Clay Porto 2 challenger · 2026-08-30

qualification - 1. round

Szymon Kielan #1348

Yanis Ghazouani Durand #595

7-5 1-6 6-3

8 Aces 0

6 Double Faults 3

104 Service Points 104

59 First Serve In 67

44 First Serve Won 42

18 Second Serve Won 22

10 Break Points Saved 11

13 Break Points Faced 14

- Winners -

- Unforced Errors -

3.6 Average Odds 1.3

Szymon Kielan vs Yanis Ghazouani Durand — Prediction