ATP tennis predict — Sumit Nagal vs Sergey Fomin

ATP Hard Asian Games · R16

Predicted probability

Sumit Nagal

India

58.76%

Sergey Fomin

Uzbekistan

41.24%

Average Odds

- / -

Market probability

- / -

Why This Prediction?

Sumit Nagal is the favorite because he has a higher Elo rating (1699 vs 1522), a higher Elo rating on hard courts (1602 vs 1519) and more wins on hard courts (23 vs 2).

Player Comparison

1698.9 Elo 1522.3

1601.8 Elo (surface) 1519.1

48 Wins 2

23 Wins (surface) 2

5 Last 15 form 2

2 Head-to-head wins 0

0.889 Dominance ratio 0.790

249 Rank 289

29.1 Age 25.7

right Hand right

Performance vs. the Odds

Career record grouped by how big a favorite the market made each player, based on their average odds.

Sumit Nagal

Heavy favorite (odds below 1.30) 1W–1L · 50.0%

Favorite (odds 1.30-1.80) 4W–4L · 50.0%

Even match (odds 1.80-2.20) 6W–2L · 75.0%

Underdog (odds 2.20-4.00) 2W–1L · 66.7%

Heavy underdog (odds above 4.00) 0W–1L · 0.0%

22 matches with market odds since 2026-05-26.

Sergey Fomin

Heavy favorite (odds below 1.30) 2W–0L · 100.0%

Favorite (odds 1.30-1.80) 3W–3L · 50.0%

Even match (odds 1.80-2.20) 0W–1L · 0.0%

Underdog (odds 2.20-4.00) 0W–6L · 0.0%

Heavy underdog (odds above 4.00) 0W–0L · 0.0%

15 matches with market odds since 2026-05-25.

Serve & Return

Serve and return win rates from each player's last 10 matches at the selected level.

Sumit Nagal Sergey Fomin

1st Serve In %

67.2%

64.7%

1st Serve Points Won %

61.8%

63.5%

2nd Serve Points Won %

46.8%

50.4%

Return Points Won vs 1st Serve %

28.0%

23.2%

Return Points Won vs 2nd Serve %

38.6%

50.4%

Aces per Service Game

0.17

0.50

Double Faults per Service Game

0.22

0.25

Based on each player's last 10 ATP/Grand Slam matches.

1st Serve In %

65.1%

55.8%

1st Serve Points Won %

63.6%

71.9%

2nd Serve Points Won %

44.7%

56.5%

Return Points Won vs 1st Serve %

35.9%

30.8%

Return Points Won vs 2nd Serve %

42.8%

54.4%

Aces per Service Game

0.24

0.57

Double Faults per Service Game

0.28

0.32

Based on each player's last 10 Challenger matches.

Break Point Performance

How each player handles the biggest points - break points saved serving, and converted returning - from their last 10 matches at the selected level.

Sumit Nagal Sergey Fomin

Break Points Saved %

52.3%

69.2%

Break Points Converted %

18.2%

40.0%

Based on each player's last 10 ATP/Grand Slam matches.

Break Points Saved %

58.1%

62.5%

Break Points Converted %

34.4%

38.0%

Based on each player's last 10 Challenger matches.

Head-to-Head

Sumit Nagal 2 – 0 Sergey Fomin

Clay Chisinau challenger · 2026-05-26

1. round

Sumit Nagal #282

Sergey Fomin #294

6-4 6-2

2 Aces 5

4 Double Faults 5

57 Service Points 67

42 First Serve In 47

28 First Serve Won 26

8 Second Serve Won 9

3 Break Points Saved 6

4 Break Points Faced 10

23 Winners 21

27 Unforced Errors 38

1.5 Average Odds 2.5

Clay Troisdorf CH · 2023-05-29

Q1

Sumit Nagal #254

Sergey Fomin #574

6-1 6-1

1 Aces 0

1 Double Faults 3

44 Service Points 44

27 First Serve In 22

20 First Serve Won 8

9 Second Serve Won 7

4 Break Points Saved 3

5 Break Points Faced 9

- Winners -

- Unforced Errors -

- Average Odds -

Sumit Nagal vs Sergey Fomin — Prediction