ATP tennis predict — Sumit Nagal vs Martin Krumich

Challenger Clay Liberec challenger · QF

Predicted probability

Sumit Nagal

India

58.57%

Martin Krumich

Czech Republic

41.43%

Average Odds

1.97 / 1.76

Market probability

47.18% / 52.82%

Why This Prediction?

Sumit Nagal is the favorite because he has a higher Elo rating (1704 vs 1651), more wins on clay courts (170 vs 59) and a higher Elo rating on clay courts (1700 vs 1650).

Player Comparison

1703.8 Elo 1651.4

1700.2 Elo (surface) 1650.5

220 Wins (Challenger) 71

170 Wins (surface) 59

9 Last 15 form 8

0 Head-to-head wins 0

1.077 Dominance ratio 0.915

246 Rank 261

29.0 Age 23.6

right Hand right

Performance vs. the Odds

Career record grouped by how big a favorite the market made each player, based on their average odds.

Sumit Nagal

Heavy favorite (odds below 1.30) 1W–1L · 50.0%

Favorite (odds 1.30-1.80) 4W–4L · 50.0%

Even match (odds 1.80-2.20) 6W–2L · 75.0%

Underdog (odds 2.20-4.00) 2W–1L · 66.7%

Heavy underdog (odds above 4.00) 0W–1L · 0.0%

22 matches with market odds since 2026-05-26.

Martin Krumich

Heavy favorite (odds below 1.30) 3W–0L · 100.0%

Favorite (odds 1.30-1.80) 10W–7L · 58.8%

Even match (odds 1.80-2.20) 1W–3L · 25.0%

Underdog (odds 2.20-4.00) 3W–3L · 50.0%

Heavy underdog (odds above 4.00) 0W–0L · 0.0%

30 matches with market odds since 2026-05-25.

Serve & Return

Serve and return win rates from each player's last 10 matches at the selected level.

Sumit Nagal Martin Krumich

1st Serve In %

67.2%

60.5%

1st Serve Points Won %

61.8%

70.3%

2nd Serve Points Won %

46.8%

43.6%

Return Points Won vs 1st Serve %

28.0%

29.7%

Return Points Won vs 2nd Serve %

38.6%

47.3%

Aces per Service Game

0.17

0.19

Double Faults per Service Game

0.22

0.19

Based on each player's last 10 ATP/Grand Slam matches.

1st Serve In %

65.1%

59.3%

1st Serve Points Won %

63.6%

64.9%

2nd Serve Points Won %

44.7%

54.0%

Return Points Won vs 1st Serve %

35.9%

25.0%

Return Points Won vs 2nd Serve %

42.8%

47.8%

Aces per Service Game

0.24

0.30

Double Faults per Service Game

0.28

0.22

Based on each player's last 10 Challenger matches.

Break Point Performance

How each player handles the biggest points - break points saved serving, and converted returning - from their last 10 matches at the selected level.

Sumit Nagal Martin Krumich

Break Points Saved %

52.3%

61.8%

Break Points Converted %

18.2%

32.0%

Based on each player's last 10 ATP/Grand Slam matches.

Break Points Saved %

58.1%

63.1%

Break Points Converted %

34.4%

27.3%

Based on each player's last 10 Challenger matches.

Head-to-Head

Sumit Nagal 0 – 0 Martin Krumich

Clay Liberec challenger · 2026-07-31

QF

Sumit Nagal #246

Martin Krumich #261

6-3 6-2

2 Aces 0

4 Double Faults 1

65 Service Points 60

28 First Serve In 48

16 First Serve Won 26

10 Second Serve Won 6

10 Break Points Saved 8

17 Break Points Faced 11

- Winners -

- Unforced Errors -

2.0 Average Odds 1.8

Sumit Nagal vs Martin Krumich — Prediction