ATP tennis predict — Sumit Nagal vs Juan Bautista Torres

Challenger Clay Cordenons challenger · R16

Predicted probability

Sumit Nagal

India

69.75%

Juan Bautista Torres

Argentina

30.25%

Average Odds

1.57 / 2.27

Market probability

59.11% / 40.89%

Why This Prediction?

Sumit Nagal is the favorite because he has a higher Elo rating (1708 vs 1508), a higher Elo rating on clay courts (1704 vs 1528) and more wins on clay courts (167 vs 136).

Player Comparison

1708.1 Elo 1507.7

1703.8 Elo (surface) 1527.9

217 Wins (Challenger) 138

167 Wins (surface) 136

10 Last 15 form 8

0 Head-to-head wins 0

1.033 Dominance ratio 1.140

241 Rank 288

28.9 Age 24.3

right Hand right

Performance vs. the Odds

Career record grouped by how big a favorite the market made each player, based on their average odds.

Sumit Nagal

Heavy favorite (odds below 1.30) 1W–1L · 50.0%

Favorite (odds 1.30-1.80) 4W–4L · 50.0%

Even match (odds 1.80-2.20) 6W–2L · 75.0%

Underdog (odds 2.20-4.00) 2W–1L · 66.7%

Heavy underdog (odds above 4.00) 0W–1L · 0.0%

22 matches with market odds since 2026-05-26.

Juan Bautista Torres

Heavy favorite (odds below 1.30) 5W–0L · 100.0%

Favorite (odds 1.30-1.80) 2W–3L · 40.0%

Even match (odds 1.80-2.20) 2W–1L · 66.7%

Underdog (odds 2.20-4.00) 2W–5L · 28.6%

Heavy underdog (odds above 4.00) 0W–0L · 0.0%

20 matches with market odds since 2026-06-22.

Serve & Return

Serve and return win rates from each player's last 10 matches at the selected level.

Sumit Nagal Juan Bautista Torres

1st Serve In %

67.2%

71.9%

1st Serve Points Won %

61.8%

66.0%

2nd Serve Points Won %

46.8%

55.3%

Return Points Won vs 1st Serve %

28.0%

34.1%

Return Points Won vs 2nd Serve %

38.6%

45.9%

Aces per Service Game

0.17

0.07

Double Faults per Service Game

0.22

0.11

Based on each player's last 10 ATP/Grand Slam matches.

1st Serve In %

65.1%

67.7%

1st Serve Points Won %

63.6%

62.1%

2nd Serve Points Won %

44.7%

48.2%

Return Points Won vs 1st Serve %

35.9%

36.5%

Return Points Won vs 2nd Serve %

42.8%

49.2%

Aces per Service Game

0.24

0.12

Double Faults per Service Game

0.28

0.16

Based on each player's last 10 Challenger matches.

Break Point Performance

How each player handles the biggest points - break points saved serving, and converted returning - from their last 10 matches at the selected level.

Sumit Nagal Juan Bautista Torres

Break Points Saved %

52.3%

53.8%

Break Points Converted %

18.2%

40.6%

Based on each player's last 10 ATP/Grand Slam matches.

Break Points Saved %

58.1%

51.6%

Break Points Converted %

34.4%

57.4%

Based on each player's last 10 Challenger matches.

Head-to-Head

Sumit Nagal 0 – 0 Juan Bautista Torres

Clay Cordenons challenger · 2026-07-16

R16

Sumit Nagal #241

Juan Bautista Torres #288

7-6 6-2

0 Aces 3

3 Double Faults 5

72 Service Points 62

45 First Serve In 39

33 First Serve Won 25

13 Second Serve Won 11

4 Break Points Saved 1

5 Break Points Faced 4

- Winners -

- Unforced Errors -

1.6 Average Odds 2.3

Sumit Nagal vs Juan Bautista Torres — Prediction