ATP tennis predict — Strong Kirchheimer vs Enzo Aguiard

Challenger Hard Winnipeg challenger · qualification - 1. round

Predicted probability

Strong Kirchheimer

USA

40.30%

Enzo Aguiard

Australia

59.70%

Average Odds

1.02 / 1.02

Market probability

50.00% / 50.00%

Why This Prediction?

Enzo Aguiard is the favorite because he has a higher Elo rating (1480 vs 1392), a higher Elo rating on hard courts (1481 vs 1444) and a stronger return game (36.9% vs 35.3% of return points won).

Player Comparison

1391.8 Elo 1480.3

1443.9 Elo (surface) 1480.9

95 Wins (Challenger) 5

85 Wins (surface) 5

8 Last 15 form 5

0 Head-to-head wins 0

0.885 Dominance ratio 0.977

660 Rank 491

31.2 Age 23.9

right Hand right

Performance vs. the Odds

Career record grouped by how big a favorite the market made each player, based on their average odds.

Strong Kirchheimer

Heavy favorite (odds below 1.30) 0W–1L · 0.0%

Favorite (odds 1.30-1.80) 1W–0L · 100.0%

Even match (odds 1.80-2.20) 0W–0L · 0.0%

Underdog (odds 2.20-4.00) 1W–2L · 33.3%

Heavy underdog (odds above 4.00) 0W–0L · 0.0%

5 matches with market odds since 2026-07-12.

Enzo Aguiard

Heavy favorite (odds below 1.30) 2W–1L · 66.7%

Favorite (odds 1.30-1.80) 1W–1L · 50.0%

Even match (odds 1.80-2.20) 1W–2L · 33.3%

Underdog (odds 2.20-4.00) 5W–2L · 71.4%

Heavy underdog (odds above 4.00) 0W–0L · 0.0%

15 matches with market odds since 2026-05-24.

Serve & Return

Serve and return win rates from each player's last 10 matches at the selected level.

Strong Kirchheimer Enzo Aguiard

1st Serve In %

66.0%

—

1st Serve Points Won %

67.1%

—

2nd Serve Points Won %

50.2%

—

Return Points Won vs 1st Serve %

30.8%

—

Return Points Won vs 2nd Serve %

46.4%

—

Aces per Service Game

0.57

—

Double Faults per Service Game

0.22

—

Based on each player's last 10 ATP/Grand Slam matches.

1st Serve In %

62.8%

62.1%

1st Serve Points Won %

68.8%

74.6%

2nd Serve Points Won %

49.7%

50.5%

Return Points Won vs 1st Serve %

29.3%

27.2%

Return Points Won vs 2nd Serve %

48.4%

49.7%

Aces per Service Game

0.35

0.65

Double Faults per Service Game

0.25

0.16

Based on each player's last 10 Challenger matches.

Break Point Performance

How each player handles the biggest points - break points saved serving, and converted returning - from their last 10 matches at the selected level.

Strong Kirchheimer Enzo Aguiard

Break Points Saved %

61.6%

—

Break Points Converted %

32.9%

—

Based on each player's last 10 ATP/Grand Slam matches.

Break Points Saved %

60.0%

58.7%

Break Points Converted %

40.6%

39.7%

Based on each player's last 10 Challenger matches.

Head-to-Head

Strong Kirchheimer 0 – 0 Enzo Aguiard

Hard Winnipeg challenger · 2026-07-19

qualification - 1. round

Enzo Aguiard #493

Strong Kirchheimer #629

3-6 7-6 6-2

2 Aces 7

3 Double Faults 2

93 Service Points 97

65 First Serve In 60

45 First Serve Won 49

14 Second Serve Won 15

6 Break Points Saved 5

9 Break Points Faced 7

- Winners -

- Unforced Errors -

1.0 Average Odds 1.0

Strong Kirchheimer vs Enzo Aguiard — Prediction