ATP tennis predict — Stefanos Tsitsipas vs Raphael Collignon

ATP Clay Gstaad · F

Predicted probability

Stefanos Tsitsipas

Greece

45.38%

Raphael Collignon

Belgium

54.62%

Average Odds

1.65 / 2.24

Market probability

57.58% / 42.42%

Why This Prediction?

This is a very close match — there is no significant statistical edge for either player.

Player Comparison

1842.5 Elo 1853.7

1855.3 Elo (surface) 1830.0

420 Wins 31

143 Wins (surface) 12

10 Last 15 form 11

0 Head-to-head wins 0

0.942 Dominance ratio 1.093

85 Rank 42

27.9 Age 24.5

right Hand right

Performance vs. the Odds

Career record grouped by how big a favorite the market made each player, based on their average odds.

Stefanos Tsitsipas

Heavy favorite (odds below 1.30) 3W–0L · 100.0%

Favorite (odds 1.30-1.80) 7W–3L · 70.0%

Even match (odds 1.80-2.20) 1W–3L · 25.0%

Underdog (odds 2.20-4.00) 1W–1L · 50.0%

Heavy underdog (odds above 4.00) 1W–1L · 50.0%

21 matches with market odds since 2026-05-26.

Raphael Collignon

Heavy favorite (odds below 1.30) 2W–2L · 50.0%

Favorite (odds 1.30-1.80) 4W–5L · 44.4%

Even match (odds 1.80-2.20) 0W–1L · 0.0%

Underdog (odds 2.20-4.00) 1W–1L · 50.0%

Heavy underdog (odds above 4.00) 0W–0L · 0.0%

16 matches with market odds since 2026-05-25.

Serve & Return

Serve and return win rates from each player's last 10 matches at the selected level.

Stefanos Tsitsipas Raphael Collignon

1st Serve In %

60.3%

59.4%

1st Serve Points Won %

73.0%

74.3%

2nd Serve Points Won %

46.4%

47.9%

Return Points Won vs 1st Serve %

25.7%

27.8%

Return Points Won vs 2nd Serve %

45.8%

47.4%

Aces per Service Game

0.53

0.56

Double Faults per Service Game

0.27

0.47

Based on each player's last 10 ATP/Grand Slam matches.

1st Serve In %

59.7%

68.3%

1st Serve Points Won %

80.2%

74.5%

2nd Serve Points Won %

62.5%

56.5%

Return Points Won vs 1st Serve %

29.7%

38.3%

Return Points Won vs 2nd Serve %

47.7%

52.9%

Aces per Service Game

0.81

0.42

Double Faults per Service Game

0.17

0.26

Based on each player's last 10 Challenger matches.

Break Point Performance

How each player handles the biggest points - break points saved serving, and converted returning - from their last 10 matches at the selected level.

Stefanos Tsitsipas Raphael Collignon

Break Points Saved %

59.2%

63.4%

Break Points Converted %

50.0%

29.6%

Based on each player's last 10 ATP/Grand Slam matches.

Break Points Saved %

75.8%

73.7%

Break Points Converted %

36.5%

51.5%

Based on each player's last 10 Challenger matches.

Head-to-Head

Stefanos Tsitsipas 0 – 0 Raphael Collignon

Clay Gstaad · 2026-07-19

F

Stefanos Tsitsipas #51

Raphael Collignon #37

6-4 6-7 6-3

4 Aces 2

0 Double Faults 4

83 Service Points 110

54 First Serve In 58

38 First Serve Won 42

21 Second Serve Won 23

2 Break Points Saved 8

4 Break Points Faced 13

31 Winners 32

33 Unforced Errors 45

1.6 Average Odds 2.2

Stefanos Tsitsipas vs Raphael Collignon — Prediction