ATP tennis predict — Stefanos Tsitsipas vs Felix Auger Aliassime

ATP Hard Cincinnati · 2. round 18:30

Predicted probability

Stefanos Tsitsipas

Greece

56.29%

Felix Auger Aliassime

Canada

43.71%

Average Odds

2.13 / 1.71

Market probability

44.53% / 55.47%

Why This Prediction?

Stefanos Tsitsipas is the favorite because he has more career match wins (42 vs 0), more wins on hard courts (252 vs 0) and fewer double faults per game (0.08 vs 0.12).

Player Comparison

1848.9 Elo 1957.4

1819.2 Elo (surface) 1828.1

424 Wins 11

252 Wins (surface) 0

10 Last 15 form 11

7 Head-to-head wins 3

1.015 Dominance ratio 1.230

53 Rank 4

28.0 Age 26.0

right Hand right

Performance vs. the Odds

Career record grouped by how big a favorite the market made each player, based on their average odds.

Stefanos Tsitsipas

Heavy favorite (odds below 1.30) 3W–0L · 100.0%

Favorite (odds 1.30-1.80) 7W–3L · 70.0%

Even match (odds 1.80-2.20) 1W–3L · 25.0%

Underdog (odds 2.20-4.00) 1W–1L · 50.0%

Heavy underdog (odds above 4.00) 1W–1L · 50.0%

21 matches with market odds since 2026-05-26.

Felix Auger Aliassime

Heavy favorite (odds below 1.30) 5W–0L · 100.0%

Favorite (odds 1.30-1.80) 7W–2L · 77.8%

Even match (odds 1.80-2.20) 0W–1L · 0.0%

Underdog (odds 2.20-4.00) 0W–1L · 0.0%

Heavy underdog (odds above 4.00) 0W–0L · 0.0%

16 matches with market odds since 2026-05-26.

Serve & Return

Serve and return win rates from each player's last 10 matches at the selected level.

Stefanos Tsitsipas Felix Auger Aliassime

1st Serve In %

60.3%

64.8%

1st Serve Points Won %

73.0%

77.5%

2nd Serve Points Won %

46.4%

52.2%

Return Points Won vs 1st Serve %

25.7%

27.0%

Return Points Won vs 2nd Serve %

45.8%

49.9%

Aces per Service Game

0.53

0.80

Double Faults per Service Game

0.27

Based on each player's last 10 ATP/Grand Slam matches.

1st Serve In %

59.7%

67.4%

1st Serve Points Won %

80.2%

74.0%

2nd Serve Points Won %

62.5%

49.8%

Return Points Won vs 1st Serve %

29.7%

32.0%

Return Points Won vs 2nd Serve %

47.7%

51.2%

Aces per Service Game

0.81

0.55

Double Faults per Service Game

0.17

0.25

Based on each player's last 10 Challenger matches.

Break Point Performance

How each player handles the biggest points - break points saved serving, and converted returning - from their last 10 matches at the selected level.

Stefanos Tsitsipas Felix Auger Aliassime

Break Points Saved %

59.2%

58.7%

Break Points Converted %

50.0%

37.4%

Based on each player's last 10 ATP/Grand Slam matches.

Break Points Saved %

75.8%

59.1%

Break Points Converted %

36.5%

52.9%

Based on each player's last 10 Challenger matches.

Head-to-Head

Stefanos Tsitsipas 7 – 3 Felix Auger Aliassime

Hard Cincinnati · 2026-08-16

2. round

Felix Auger Aliassime #4

Stefanos Tsitsipas #49

6-3 7-5

6 Aces 7

2 Double Faults 5

53 Service Points 58

33 First Serve In 35

21 First Serve Won 26

6 Second Serve Won 14

0 Break Points Saved 2

4 Break Points Faced 4

14 Winners 18

34 Unforced Errors 19

1.7 Average Odds 2.1

Hard Dubai · 2025-02-24

F

Stefanos Tsitsipas #11

Felix Auger Aliassime #21

6-3 6-3

4 Aces 4

4 Double Faults 2

66 Service Points 52

42 First Serve In 34

35 First Serve Won 24

9 Second Serve Won 7

7 Break Points Saved 3

7 Break Points Faced 6

- Winners -

- Unforced Errors -

- Average Odds -

Hard Paris Masters · 2023-10-30

R32

Stefanos Tsitsipas #6

Felix Auger Aliassime #19

6-3 7-6(4)

1 Aces 9

1 Double Faults 3

77 Service Points 69

46 First Serve In 50

34 First Serve Won 39

20 Second Serve Won 3

6 Break Points Saved 2

7 Break Points Faced 4

- Winners -

- Unforced Errors -

- Average Odds -

Hard Rotterdam · 2022-02-07

F

Felix Auger Aliassime #9

Stefanos Tsitsipas #4

6-4 6-2

7 Aces 1

0 Double Faults 4

44 Service Points 55

28 First Serve In 31

26 First Serve Won 23

11 Second Serve Won 8

0 Break Points Saved 3

0 Break Points Faced 6

- Winners -

- Unforced Errors -

- Average Odds -

Hard Cincinnati Masters · 2021-08-16

QF

Stefanos Tsitsipas #3

Felix Auger Aliassime #17

6-2 5-7 6-1

6 Aces 10

3 Double Faults 7

78 Service Points 82

42 First Serve In 55

34 First Serve Won 38

23 Second Serve Won 9

1 Break Points Saved 4

2 Break Points Faced 8

- Winners -

- Unforced Errors -

- Average Odds -

Clay Barcelona · 2021-04-19

QF

Stefanos Tsitsipas #5

Felix Auger Aliassime #20

6-3 6-3

1 Aces 1

1 Double Faults 3

55 Service Points 46

37 First Serve In 26

29 First Serve Won 17

11 Second Serve Won 11

3 Break Points Saved 2

3 Break Points Faced 5

- Winners -

- Unforced Errors -

- Average Odds -

Hard Acapulco · 2021-03-15

QF

Stefanos Tsitsipas #5

Felix Auger Aliassime #18

7-5 4-6 6-3

4 Aces 7

1 Double Faults 3

84 Service Points 74

59 First Serve In 51

45 First Serve Won 34

14 Second Serve Won 15

1 Break Points Saved 0

3 Break Points Faced 3

- Winners -

- Unforced Errors -

- Average Odds -

Hard Marseille · 2020-02-17

F

Stefanos Tsitsipas #6

Felix Auger Aliassime #18

6-3 6-4

4 Aces 3

0 Double Faults 3

56 Service Points 61

41 First Serve In 39

32 First Serve Won 26

8 Second Serve Won 9

4 Break Points Saved 6

5 Break Points Faced 9

- Winners -

- Unforced Errors -

- Average Odds -

Hard Shanghai Masters · 2019-10-07

R32

Stefanos Tsitsipas #7

Felix Auger Aliassime #19

7-6(3) 7-6(3)

5 Aces 11

2 Double Faults 2

85 Service Points 82

64 First Serve In 57

51 First Serve Won 43

8 Second Serve Won 13

2 Break Points Saved 5

3 Break Points Faced 6

- Winners -

- Unforced Errors -

- Average Odds -

Grass Queen's Club · 2019-06-17

QF

Felix Auger Aliassime #21

Stefanos Tsitsipas #6

7-5 6-2

9 Aces 1

6 Double Faults 2

72 Service Points 55

44 First Serve In 33

34 First Serve Won 23

14 Second Serve Won 10

7 Break Points Saved 2

7 Break Points Faced 5

- Winners -

- Unforced Errors -

- Average Odds -

Hard Indian Wells Masters · 2019-03-04

R64

Felix Auger Aliassime #58

Stefanos Tsitsipas #10

6-4 6-2

4 Aces 3

5 Double Faults 0

62 Service Points 47

43 First Serve In 39

35 First Serve Won 25

10 Second Serve Won 3

7 Break Points Saved 0

7 Break Points Faced 3

- Winners -

- Unforced Errors -

- Average Odds -

Stefanos Tsitsipas vs Felix Auger Aliassime — Prediction

Why This Prediction?

Player Comparison

Performance vs. the Odds

Serve & Return

Break Point Performance

Head-to-Head

Stefanos Tsitsipas — Last 10

Felix Auger Aliassime — Last 10