ATP tennis predict — Stefanos Sakellaridis vs Ugo Blanchet

Challenger Hard Quebec City challenger · 1. round 18:30

Predicted probability

Stefanos Sakellaridis

Greece

63.22%

Ugo Blanchet

France

36.78%

Average Odds

1.46 / 2.44

Market probability

62.56% / 37.44%

Why This Prediction?

Stefanos Sakellaridis is the favorite because he has a higher Elo rating (1732 vs 1607), a stronger return game (38.9% vs 33.8% of return points won) and a stronger serve (65.2% vs 63.7% of service points won).

Player Comparison

1732.5 Elo 1606.7

1646.8 Elo (surface) 1659.7

65 Wins (Challenger) 76

36 Wins (surface) 41

12 Last 15 form 7

0 Head-to-head wins 0

1.017 Dominance ratio 0.898

157 Rank 192

21.9 Age 27.6

right Hand right

Performance vs. the Odds

Career record grouped by how big a favorite the market made each player, based on their average odds.

Stefanos Sakellaridis

Heavy favorite (odds below 1.30) 3W–0L · 100.0%

Favorite (odds 1.30-1.80) 9W–1L · 90.0%

Even match (odds 1.80-2.20) 1W–0L · 100.0%

Underdog (odds 2.20-4.00) 3W–7L · 30.0%

Heavy underdog (odds above 4.00) 0W–0L · 0.0%

24 matches with market odds since 2026-05-25.

Ugo Blanchet

Heavy favorite (odds below 1.30) 0W–0L · 0.0%

Favorite (odds 1.30-1.80) 6W–2L · 75.0%

Even match (odds 1.80-2.20) 0W–2L · 0.0%

Underdog (odds 2.20-4.00) 0W–3L · 0.0%

Heavy underdog (odds above 4.00) 0W–0L · 0.0%

13 matches with market odds since 2026-06-03.

Serve & Return

Serve and return win rates from each player's last 10 matches at the selected level.

Stefanos Sakellaridis Ugo Blanchet

1st Serve In %

62.5%

52.8%

1st Serve Points Won %

73.9%

69.9%

2nd Serve Points Won %

50.2%

53.3%

Return Points Won vs 1st Serve %

24.4%

23.0%

Return Points Won vs 2nd Serve %

46.8%

47.7%

Aces per Service Game

0.50

0.40

Double Faults per Service Game

0.30

0.24

Based on each player's last 10 ATP/Grand Slam matches.

1st Serve In %

60.8%

1st Serve Points Won %

75.3%

68.2%

2nd Serve Points Won %

55.5%

55.7%

Return Points Won vs 1st Serve %

30.9%

28.9%

Return Points Won vs 2nd Serve %

42.7%

41.7%

Aces per Service Game

0.56

0.49

Double Faults per Service Game

0.29

0.18

Based on each player's last 10 Challenger matches.

Break Point Performance

How each player handles the biggest points - break points saved serving, and converted returning - from their last 10 matches at the selected level.

Stefanos Sakellaridis Ugo Blanchet

Break Points Saved %

59.1%

61.7%

Break Points Converted %

37.8%

Based on each player's last 10 ATP/Grand Slam matches.

Break Points Saved %

68.9%

68.3%

Break Points Converted %

40.0%

36.9%

Based on each player's last 10 Challenger matches.

Head-to-Head

Stefanos Sakellaridis 0 – 0 Ugo Blanchet

Hard Quebec City challenger · 2026-08-19

1. round

Stefanos Sakellaridis #157

Ugo Blanchet #192

6-4 3-6 6-2

18 Aces 4

5 Double Faults 3

89 Service Points 83

49 First Serve In 43

38 First Serve Won 29

21 Second Serve Won 22

6 Break Points Saved 8

8 Break Points Faced 12

- Winners -

- Unforced Errors -

1.5 Average Odds 2.4

Stefanos Sakellaridis vs Ugo Blanchet — Prediction