ATP tennis predict — Stefanos Sakellaridis vs Tristan Schoolkate

Challenger Hard Quebec City challenger · qualification - quarterfinal 18:30

Predicted probability

Stefanos Sakellaridis

Greece

62.26%

Tristan Schoolkate

Australia

37.74%

Average Odds

1.67 / 2.09

Market probability

55.59% / 44.41%

Why This Prediction?

Stefanos Sakellaridis is the favorite because he has a higher Elo rating (1721 vs 1604), a higher Elo rating on hard courts (1627 vs 1597) and a stronger return game (39.4% vs 36.5% of return points won).

Player Comparison

1720.7 Elo 1604.1

1627.1 Elo (surface) 1597.3

64 Wins (Challenger) 118

35 Wins (surface) 99

12 Last 15 form 7

0 Head-to-head wins 0

1.006 Dominance ratio 1.036

157 Rank 188

21.9 Age 25.5

right Hand right

Performance vs. the Odds

Career record grouped by how big a favorite the market made each player, based on their average odds.

Stefanos Sakellaridis

Heavy favorite (odds below 1.30) 3W–0L · 100.0%

Favorite (odds 1.30-1.80) 9W–1L · 90.0%

Even match (odds 1.80-2.20) 1W–0L · 100.0%

Underdog (odds 2.20-4.00) 3W–7L · 30.0%

Heavy underdog (odds above 4.00) 0W–0L · 0.0%

24 matches with market odds since 2026-05-25.

Tristan Schoolkate

Heavy favorite (odds below 1.30) 4W–1L · 80.0%

Favorite (odds 1.30-1.80) 6W–4L · 60.0%

Even match (odds 1.80-2.20) 1W–3L · 25.0%

Underdog (odds 2.20-4.00) 2W–1L · 66.7%

Heavy underdog (odds above 4.00) 0W–1L · 0.0%

23 matches with market odds since 2026-06-02.

Serve & Return

Serve and return win rates from each player's last 10 matches at the selected level.

Stefanos Sakellaridis Tristan Schoolkate

1st Serve In %

62.5%

60.2%

1st Serve Points Won %

73.9%

71.7%

2nd Serve Points Won %

50.2%

54.8%

Return Points Won vs 1st Serve %

24.4%

23.9%

Return Points Won vs 2nd Serve %

46.8%

48.3%

Aces per Service Game

0.50

0.60

Double Faults per Service Game

0.30

0.33

Based on each player's last 10 ATP/Grand Slam matches.

1st Serve In %

60.8%

59.0%

1st Serve Points Won %

75.3%

70.3%

2nd Serve Points Won %

55.5%

50.6%

Return Points Won vs 1st Serve %

30.9%

27.6%

Return Points Won vs 2nd Serve %

42.7%

43.2%

Aces per Service Game

0.56

0.45

Double Faults per Service Game

0.29

0.17

Based on each player's last 10 Challenger matches.

Break Point Performance

How each player handles the biggest points - break points saved serving, and converted returning - from their last 10 matches at the selected level.

Stefanos Sakellaridis Tristan Schoolkate

Break Points Saved %

59.1%

54.9%

Break Points Converted %

37.8%

31.2%

Based on each player's last 10 ATP/Grand Slam matches.

Break Points Saved %

68.9%

64.6%

Break Points Converted %

40.0%

31.2%

Based on each player's last 10 Challenger matches.

Head-to-Head

Stefanos Sakellaridis 0 – 0 Tristan Schoolkate

Hard Quebec City challenger · 2026-08-18

qualification - quarterfinal

Stefanos Sakellaridis #157

Tristan Schoolkate #188

6-4 3-6 7-5

14 Aces 10

6 Double Faults 2

84 Service Points 92

48 First Serve In 57

38 First Serve Won 44

21 Second Serve Won 18

6 Break Points Saved 1

8 Break Points Faced 4

- Winners -

- Unforced Errors -

1.7 Average Odds 2.1

Stefanos Sakellaridis vs Tristan Schoolkate — Prediction