ATP tennis predict — Stefanos Sakellaridis vs Titouan Droguet

ATP Hard Cincinnati · qualification - 2. round 20:00

Predicted probability

Stefanos Sakellaridis

Greece

43.77%

Titouan Droguet

France

56.23%

Average Odds

3.12 / 1.33

Market probability

29.89% / 70.11%

Why This Prediction?

Titouan Droguet is the favorite because he has a higher Elo rating (1761 vs 1709), a higher Elo rating on hard courts (1658 vs 1607) and more wins on hard courts (22 vs 1).

Player Comparison

1709.3 Elo 1760.9

1606.6 Elo (surface) 1657.6

8 Wins 43

1 Wins (surface) 22

7 Last 15 form 9

0 Head-to-head wins 1

0.765 Dominance ratio 0.820

155 Rank 119

21.9 Age 25.2

right Hand right

Performance vs. the Odds

Career record grouped by how big a favorite the market made each player, based on their average odds.

Stefanos Sakellaridis

Heavy favorite (odds below 1.30) 3W–0L · 100.0%

Favorite (odds 1.30-1.80) 9W–1L · 90.0%

Even match (odds 1.80-2.20) 1W–0L · 100.0%

Underdog (odds 2.20-4.00) 3W–7L · 30.0%

Heavy underdog (odds above 4.00) 0W–0L · 0.0%

24 matches with market odds since 2026-05-25.

Titouan Droguet

Heavy favorite (odds below 1.30) 6W–1L · 85.7%

Favorite (odds 1.30-1.80) 11W–3L · 78.6%

Even match (odds 1.80-2.20) 4W–1L · 80.0%

Underdog (odds 2.20-4.00) 1W–5L · 16.7%

Heavy underdog (odds above 4.00) 0W–0L · 0.0%

32 matches with market odds since 2026-05-24.

Serve & Return

Serve and return win rates from each player's last 10 matches at the selected level.

Stefanos Sakellaridis Titouan Droguet

1st Serve In %

62.5%

56.3%

1st Serve Points Won %

73.9%

70.3%

2nd Serve Points Won %

50.2%

45.9%

Return Points Won vs 1st Serve %

24.4%

27.4%

Return Points Won vs 2nd Serve %

46.8%

50.3%

Aces per Service Game

0.50

0.43

Double Faults per Service Game

0.30

0.39

Based on each player's last 10 ATP/Grand Slam matches.

1st Serve In %

60.8%

—

1st Serve Points Won %

75.3%

—

2nd Serve Points Won %

55.5%

—

Return Points Won vs 1st Serve %

30.9%

—

Return Points Won vs 2nd Serve %

42.7%

—

Aces per Service Game

0.56

0.62

Double Faults per Service Game

0.29

0.21

Based on each player's last 10 Challenger matches.

Break Point Performance

How each player handles the biggest points - break points saved serving, and converted returning - from their last 10 matches at the selected level.

Stefanos Sakellaridis Titouan Droguet

Break Points Saved %

59.1%

58.3%

Break Points Converted %

37.8%

42.9%

Based on each player's last 10 ATP/Grand Slam matches.

Break Points Saved %

68.9%

68.0%

Break Points Converted %

40.0%

43.3%

Based on each player's last 10 Challenger matches.

Head-to-Head

Stefanos Sakellaridis 0 – 1 Titouan Droguet

Hard Cincinnati · 2026-08-13

qualification - 2. round

Titouan Droguet #119

Stefanos Sakellaridis #155

6-4 6-2

7 Aces 7

1 Double Faults 1

52 Service Points 49

31 First Serve In 27

20 First Serve Won 22

9 Second Serve Won 15

1 Break Points Saved 0

4 Break Points Faced 0

11 Winners 12

32 Unforced Errors 12

1.3 Average Odds 3.1

Grass Dublin challenger · 2026-06-18

QF

Titouan Droguet #112

Stefanos Sakellaridis #153

6-3 6-3

6 Aces 0

3 Double Faults 4

65 Service Points 44

44 First Serve In 30

34 First Serve Won 22

11 Second Serve Won 6

3 Break Points Saved 1

3 Break Points Faced 4

- Winners -

- Unforced Errors -

1.4 Average Odds 2.8

Stefanos Sakellaridis vs Titouan Droguet — Prediction