ATP tennis predict — Stefanos Sakellaridis vs Taro Daniel

Challenger Hard Quebec City challenger · SF 21:00

Predicted probability

Stefanos Sakellaridis

Greece

66.97%

Taro Daniel

Japan

33.03%

Average Odds

1.90 / 1.82

Market probability

48.92% / 51.08%

Why This Prediction?

Stefanos Sakellaridis is the favorite because he has a stronger serve (64.9% vs 54.9% of service points won), more aces per game (0.27 vs 0.20) and a higher Elo rating on hard courts (1717 vs 1707).

Player Comparison

1778.4 Elo 1785.3

1717.0 Elo (surface) 1706.8

68 Wins (Challenger) 244

39 Wins (surface) 120

13 Last 15 form 13

0 Head-to-head wins 0

1.037 Dominance ratio 0.806

157 Rank 186

21.9 Age 33.6

right Hand right

Performance vs. the Odds

Career record grouped by how big a favorite the market made each player, based on their average odds.

Stefanos Sakellaridis

Heavy favorite (odds below 1.30) 3W–0L · 100.0%

Favorite (odds 1.30-1.80) 9W–1L · 90.0%

Even match (odds 1.80-2.20) 1W–0L · 100.0%

Underdog (odds 2.20-4.00) 3W–7L · 30.0%

Heavy underdog (odds above 4.00) 0W–0L · 0.0%

24 matches with market odds since 2026-05-25.

Taro Daniel

Heavy favorite (odds below 1.30) 5W–1L · 83.3%

Favorite (odds 1.30-1.80) 9W–2L · 81.8%

Even match (odds 1.80-2.20) 4W–2L · 66.7%

Underdog (odds 2.20-4.00) 5W–2L · 71.4%

Heavy underdog (odds above 4.00) 0W–0L · 0.0%

30 matches with market odds since 2026-05-25.

Serve & Return

Serve and return win rates from each player's last 10 matches at the selected level.

Stefanos Sakellaridis Taro Daniel

1st Serve In %

62.5%

64.3%

1st Serve Points Won %

73.9%

62.3%

2nd Serve Points Won %

50.2%

45.4%

Return Points Won vs 1st Serve %

24.4%

28.7%

Return Points Won vs 2nd Serve %

46.8%

48.9%

Aces per Service Game

0.50

0.32

Double Faults per Service Game

0.30

0.18

Based on each player's last 10 ATP/Grand Slam matches.

1st Serve In %

60.8%

62.1%

1st Serve Points Won %

75.3%

63.0%

2nd Serve Points Won %

55.5%

48.5%

Return Points Won vs 1st Serve %

30.9%

29.8%

Return Points Won vs 2nd Serve %

42.7%

45.9%

Aces per Service Game

0.56

0.48

Double Faults per Service Game

0.29

0.21

Based on each player's last 10 Challenger matches.

Break Point Performance

How each player handles the biggest points - break points saved serving, and converted returning - from their last 10 matches at the selected level.

Stefanos Sakellaridis Taro Daniel

Break Points Saved %

59.1%

51.6%

Break Points Converted %

37.8%

33.3%

Based on each player's last 10 ATP/Grand Slam matches.

Break Points Saved %

68.9%

59.0%

Break Points Converted %

40.0%

54.8%

Based on each player's last 10 Challenger matches.

Head-to-Head

Stefanos Sakellaridis 0 – 0 Taro Daniel

Hard Quebec City challenger · 2026-08-22

SF

Stefanos Sakellaridis #157

Taro Daniel #186

6-4 7-6

8 Aces 3

3 Double Faults 0

64 Service Points 62

35 First Serve In 37

31 First Serve Won 25

17 Second Serve Won 19

0 Break Points Saved 1

1 Break Points Faced 3

- Winners -

- Unforced Errors -

1.9 Average Odds 1.8

Stefanos Sakellaridis vs Taro Daniel — Prediction