ATP tennis predict — Stefanos Sakellaridis vs Martin Damm

ATP Hard Cincinnati · qualification - 1. round 04:05

Predicted probability

Stefanos Sakellaridis

Greece

45.17%

Martin Damm

USA

54.83%

Average Odds

3.46 / 1.29

Market probability

27.16% / 72.84%

Why This Prediction?

This is a very close match — there is no significant statistical edge for either player.

Player Comparison

1709.3 Elo 1718.0

1606.6 Elo (surface) 1626.3

8 Wins 29

1 Wins (surface) 20

7 Last 15 form 9

0 Head-to-head wins 0

0.765 Dominance ratio 1.113

155 Rank 100

21.9 Age 22.9

right Hand left

Performance vs. the Odds

Career record grouped by how big a favorite the market made each player, based on their average odds.

Stefanos Sakellaridis

Heavy favorite (odds below 1.30) 3W–0L · 100.0%

Favorite (odds 1.30-1.80) 9W–1L · 90.0%

Even match (odds 1.80-2.20) 1W–0L · 100.0%

Underdog (odds 2.20-4.00) 3W–7L · 30.0%

Heavy underdog (odds above 4.00) 0W–0L · 0.0%

24 matches with market odds since 2026-05-25.

Martin Damm

Heavy favorite (odds below 1.30) 5W–0L · 100.0%

Favorite (odds 1.30-1.80) 4W–3L · 57.1%

Even match (odds 1.80-2.20) 0W–2L · 0.0%

Underdog (odds 2.20-4.00) 1W–2L · 33.3%

Heavy underdog (odds above 4.00) 0W–1L · 0.0%

18 matches with market odds since 2026-05-31.

Serve & Return

Serve and return win rates from each player's last 10 matches at the selected level.

Stefanos Sakellaridis Martin Damm

1st Serve In %

62.5%

57.2%

1st Serve Points Won %

73.9%

77.3%

2nd Serve Points Won %

50.2%

56.8%

Return Points Won vs 1st Serve %

24.4%

26.3%

Return Points Won vs 2nd Serve %

46.8%

51.9%

Aces per Service Game

0.50

0.76

Double Faults per Service Game

0.30

0.29

Based on each player's last 10 ATP/Grand Slam matches.

1st Serve In %

60.8%

61.1%

1st Serve Points Won %

75.3%

79.1%

2nd Serve Points Won %

55.5%

52.4%

Return Points Won vs 1st Serve %

30.9%

24.0%

Return Points Won vs 2nd Serve %

42.7%

48.7%

Aces per Service Game

0.56

0.86

Double Faults per Service Game

0.29

0.31

Based on each player's last 10 Challenger matches.

Break Point Performance

How each player handles the biggest points - break points saved serving, and converted returning - from their last 10 matches at the selected level.

Stefanos Sakellaridis Martin Damm

Break Points Saved %

59.1%

68.2%

Break Points Converted %

37.8%

46.3%

Based on each player's last 10 ATP/Grand Slam matches.

Break Points Saved %

68.9%

58.5%

Break Points Converted %

40.0%

37.8%

Based on each player's last 10 Challenger matches.

Head-to-Head

Stefanos Sakellaridis 0 – 0 Martin Damm

Hard Cincinnati · 2026-08-12

qualification - 1. round

Stefanos Sakellaridis #155

Martin Damm #100

6-4 7-6

9 Aces 10

6 Double Faults 3

70 Service Points 84

51 First Serve In 44

39 First Serve Won 35

7 Second Serve Won 23

2 Break Points Saved 7

4 Break Points Faced 8

19 Winners 20

37 Unforced Errors 28

3.3 Average Odds 1.3

Stefanos Sakellaridis vs Martin Damm — Prediction