ATP tennis predict — Stefanos Sakellaridis vs Luca Van Assche

Challenger Hard Quebec City challenger · F 19:00

Predicted probability

Stefanos Sakellaridis

Greece

67.39%

Luca Van Assche

France

32.61%

Average Odds

2.24 / 1.60

Market probability

41.67% / 58.33%

Why This Prediction?

Stefanos Sakellaridis is the favorite because he has a higher Elo rating on hard courts (1738 vs 1634), a stronger serve (66.6% vs 52.0% of service points won) and more aces per game (0.31 vs 0.11).

Player Comparison

1795.9 Elo 1791.7

1737.6 Elo (surface) 1633.7

69 Wins (Challenger) 138

40 Wins (surface) 68

14 Last 15 form 12

0 Head-to-head wins 0

1.062 Dominance ratio 0.769

157 Rank 54

21.9 Age 22.3

right Hand right

Performance vs. the Odds

Career record grouped by how big a favorite the market made each player, based on their average odds.

Stefanos Sakellaridis

Heavy favorite (odds below 1.30) 3W–0L · 100.0%

Favorite (odds 1.30-1.80) 9W–1L · 90.0%

Even match (odds 1.80-2.20) 1W–0L · 100.0%

Underdog (odds 2.20-4.00) 3W–7L · 30.0%

Heavy underdog (odds above 4.00) 0W–0L · 0.0%

24 matches with market odds since 2026-05-25.

Luca Van Assche

Heavy favorite (odds below 1.30) 2W–0L · 100.0%

Favorite (odds 1.30-1.80) 9W–1L · 90.0%

Even match (odds 1.80-2.20) 0W–4L · 0.0%

Underdog (odds 2.20-4.00) 3W–2L · 60.0%

Heavy underdog (odds above 4.00) 1W–0L · 100.0%

22 matches with market odds since 2026-05-25.

Serve & Return

Serve and return win rates from each player's last 10 matches at the selected level.

Stefanos Sakellaridis Luca Van Assche

1st Serve In %

62.5%

60.7%

1st Serve Points Won %

73.9%

70.3%

2nd Serve Points Won %

50.2%

52.1%

Return Points Won vs 1st Serve %

24.4%

31.2%

Return Points Won vs 2nd Serve %

46.8%

51.3%

Aces per Service Game

0.50

0.40

Double Faults per Service Game

0.30

0.39

Based on each player's last 10 ATP/Grand Slam matches.

1st Serve In %

60.8%

55.1%

1st Serve Points Won %

75.3%

63.0%

2nd Serve Points Won %

55.5%

42.9%

Return Points Won vs 1st Serve %

30.9%

31.8%

Return Points Won vs 2nd Serve %

42.7%

48.8%

Aces per Service Game

0.56

0.25

Double Faults per Service Game

0.29

Based on each player's last 10 Challenger matches.

Break Point Performance

How each player handles the biggest points - break points saved serving, and converted returning - from their last 10 matches at the selected level.

Stefanos Sakellaridis Luca Van Assche

Break Points Saved %

59.1%

49.2%

Break Points Converted %

37.8%

41.0%

Based on each player's last 10 ATP/Grand Slam matches.

Break Points Saved %

68.9%

48.8%

Break Points Converted %

40.0%

33.3%

Based on each player's last 10 Challenger matches.

Head-to-Head

Stefanos Sakellaridis 0 – 0 Luca Van Assche

Hard Quebec City challenger · 2026-08-23

F

Luca Van Assche #54

Stefanos Sakellaridis #157

6-1 6-4

0 Aces 1

1 Double Faults 3

59 Service Points 60

38 First Serve In 50

20 First Serve Won 35

10 Second Serve Won 4

7 Break Points Saved 3

11 Break Points Faced 4

- Winners -

- Unforced Errors -

1.6 Average Odds 2.2

Stefanos Sakellaridis vs Luca Van Assche — Prediction