ATP tennis predict — Stefanos Sakellaridis vs Christopher Oconnell

Grand Slam Hard US Open · qualification - 1. round 20:00

Predicted probability

Stefanos Sakellaridis

Greece

62.13%

Christopher Oconnell

Australia

37.87%

Average Odds

2.33 / 1.57

Market probability

40.26% / 59.74%

Why This Prediction?

Stefanos Sakellaridis is the favorite because he has a higher Elo rating (1779 vs 1742), a higher Elo rating on hard courts (1710 vs 1673) and a stronger serve (67.5% vs 61.3% of service points won).

Player Comparison

1778.6 Elo 1741.7

1710.4 Elo (surface) 1673.4

9 Wins 127

2 Wins (surface) 94

8 Last 15 form 8

0 Head-to-head wins 0

0.900 Dominance ratio 0.780

136 Rank 105

22.0 Age 32.2

right Hand right

Performance vs. the Odds

Career record grouped by how big a favorite the market made each player, based on their average odds.

Stefanos Sakellaridis

Heavy favorite (odds below 1.30) 3W–0L · 100.0%

Favorite (odds 1.30-1.80) 9W–1L · 90.0%

Even match (odds 1.80-2.20) 1W–0L · 100.0%

Underdog (odds 2.20-4.00) 3W–7L · 30.0%

Heavy underdog (odds above 4.00) 0W–0L · 0.0%

24 matches with market odds since 2026-05-25.

Christopher Oconnell

Heavy favorite (odds below 1.30) 1W–1L · 50.0%

Favorite (odds 1.30-1.80) 4W–4L · 50.0%

Even match (odds 1.80-2.20) 1W–0L · 100.0%

Underdog (odds 2.20-4.00) 4W–0L · 100.0%

Heavy underdog (odds above 4.00) 1W–1L · 50.0%

17 matches with market odds since 2026-06-03.

Serve & Return

Serve and return win rates from each player's last 10 matches at the selected level.

Stefanos Sakellaridis Christopher Oconnell

1st Serve In %

62.5%

55.4%

1st Serve Points Won %

73.9%

72.4%

2nd Serve Points Won %

50.2%

46.1%

Return Points Won vs 1st Serve %

24.4%

26.7%

Return Points Won vs 2nd Serve %

46.8%

44.0%

Aces per Service Game

0.50

0.53

Double Faults per Service Game

0.30

0.23

Based on each player's last 10 ATP/Grand Slam matches.

1st Serve In %

60.8%

60.2%

1st Serve Points Won %

75.3%

71.4%

2nd Serve Points Won %

55.5%

49.3%

Return Points Won vs 1st Serve %

30.9%

22.4%

Return Points Won vs 2nd Serve %

42.7%

41.4%

Aces per Service Game

0.56

0.78

Double Faults per Service Game

0.29

0.16

Based on each player's last 10 Challenger matches.

Break Point Performance

How each player handles the biggest points - break points saved serving, and converted returning - from their last 10 matches at the selected level.

Stefanos Sakellaridis Christopher Oconnell

Break Points Saved %

59.1%

56.7%

Break Points Converted %

37.8%

32.7%

Based on each player's last 10 ATP/Grand Slam matches.

Break Points Saved %

68.9%

52.8%

Break Points Converted %

40.0%

23.4%

Based on each player's last 10 Challenger matches.

Head-to-Head

Stefanos Sakellaridis 0 – 0 Christopher Oconnell

Hard US Open · 2026-08-25

qualification - 1. round

Christopher Oconnell #105

Stefanos Sakellaridis #136

6-3 6-3

2 Aces 5

2 Double Faults 3

53 Service Points 59

30 First Serve In 30

20 First Serve Won 22

5 Second Serve Won 15

3 Break Points Saved 4

8 Break Points Faced 6

12 Winners 11

27 Unforced Errors 17

1.6 Average Odds 2.3

Stefanos Sakellaridis vs Christopher Oconnell — Prediction