ATP tennis predict — Stefanos Sakellaridis vs Aleksandar Vukic

Challenger Hard Quebec City challenger · R16 20:00

Predicted probability

Stefanos Sakellaridis

Greece

51.44%

Aleksandar Vukic

Australia

48.56%

Average Odds

2.57 / 1.40

Market probability

35.26% / 64.74%

Why This Prediction?

This is a very close match — there is no significant statistical edge for either player.

Player Comparison

1743.8 Elo 1713.0

1669.0 Elo (surface) 1746.1

66 Wins (Challenger) 159

37 Wins (surface) 114

12 Last 15 form 9

0 Head-to-head wins 0

1.072 Dominance ratio 1.085

157 Rank 99

21.9 Age 30.4

right Hand right

Performance vs. the Odds

Career record grouped by how big a favorite the market made each player, based on their average odds.

Stefanos Sakellaridis

Heavy favorite (odds below 1.30) 3W–0L · 100.0%

Favorite (odds 1.30-1.80) 9W–1L · 90.0%

Even match (odds 1.80-2.20) 1W–0L · 100.0%

Underdog (odds 2.20-4.00) 3W–7L · 30.0%

Heavy underdog (odds above 4.00) 0W–0L · 0.0%

24 matches with market odds since 2026-05-25.

Aleksandar Vukic

Heavy favorite (odds below 1.30) 1W–0L · 100.0%

Favorite (odds 1.30-1.80) 6W–3L · 66.7%

Even match (odds 1.80-2.20) 5W–2L · 71.4%

Underdog (odds 2.20-4.00) 1W–5L · 16.7%

Heavy underdog (odds above 4.00) 0W–1L · 0.0%

24 matches with market odds since 2026-05-25.

Serve & Return

Serve and return win rates from each player's last 10 matches at the selected level.

Stefanos Sakellaridis Aleksandar Vukic

1st Serve In %

62.5%

62.0%

1st Serve Points Won %

73.9%

80.5%

2nd Serve Points Won %

50.2%

55.6%

Return Points Won vs 1st Serve %

24.4%

28.5%

Return Points Won vs 2nd Serve %

46.8%

53.8%

Aces per Service Game

0.50

1.06

Double Faults per Service Game

0.30

0.20

Based on each player's last 10 ATP/Grand Slam matches.

1st Serve In %

60.8%

1st Serve Points Won %

75.3%

78.0%

2nd Serve Points Won %

55.5%

52.4%

Return Points Won vs 1st Serve %

30.9%

29.3%

Return Points Won vs 2nd Serve %

42.7%

51.3%

Aces per Service Game

0.56

Double Faults per Service Game

0.29

0.13

Based on each player's last 10 Challenger matches.

Break Point Performance

How each player handles the biggest points - break points saved serving, and converted returning - from their last 10 matches at the selected level.

Stefanos Sakellaridis Aleksandar Vukic

Break Points Saved %

59.1%

65.8%

Break Points Converted %

37.8%

35.7%

Based on each player's last 10 ATP/Grand Slam matches.

Break Points Saved %

68.9%

Break Points Converted %

40.0%

33.3%

Based on each player's last 10 Challenger matches.

Head-to-Head

Stefanos Sakellaridis 0 – 0 Aleksandar Vukic

Hard Quebec City challenger · 2026-08-20

R16

Stefanos Sakellaridis #157

Aleksandar Vukic #99

6-4 6-4

8 Aces 3

3 Double Faults 3

60 Service Points 60

37 First Serve In 35

28 First Serve Won 26

14 Second Serve Won 11

3 Break Points Saved 1

3 Break Points Faced 3

- Winners -

- Unforced Errors -

2.6 Average Odds 1.4

Stefanos Sakellaridis vs Aleksandar Vukic — Prediction