ATP tennis predict — Stefano Travaglia vs Viktor Durasovic

Challenger Hard Olbia challenger · 1. round 12:30

Predicted probability

Stefano Travaglia

Italy

66.46%

Viktor Durasovic

Norway

33.54%

Average Odds

1.39 / 2.81

Market probability

66.90% / 33.10%

Why This Prediction?

Stefano Travaglia is the favorite because he has a higher Elo rating (1681 vs 1542), a higher Elo rating on hard courts (1692 vs 1569) and a stronger return game (39.5% vs 37.7% of return points won).

Player Comparison

1681.5 Elo 1542.2

1691.8 Elo (surface) 1569.4

267 Wins (Challenger) 150

77 Wins (surface) 97

5 Last 15 form 6

2 Head-to-head wins 1

1.008 Dominance ratio 0.933

173 Rank 465

34.8 Age 29.6

right Hand right

Performance vs. the Odds

Career record grouped by how big a favorite the market made each player, based on their average odds.

Stefano Travaglia

Heavy favorite (odds below 1.30) 1W–2L · 33.3%

Favorite (odds 1.30-1.80) 4W–4L · 50.0%

Even match (odds 1.80-2.20) 2W–5L · 28.6%

Underdog (odds 2.20-4.00) 0W–2L · 0.0%

Heavy underdog (odds above 4.00) 1W–0L · 100.0%

21 matches with market odds since 2026-05-26.

Viktor Durasovic

Heavy favorite (odds below 1.30) 0W–0L · 0.0%

Favorite (odds 1.30-1.80) 2W–1L · 66.7%

Even match (odds 1.80-2.20) 5W–2L · 71.4%

Underdog (odds 2.20-4.00) 1W–6L · 14.3%

Heavy underdog (odds above 4.00) 0W–0L · 0.0%

17 matches with market odds since 2026-05-31.

Serve & Return

Serve and return win rates from each player's last 10 matches at the selected level.

Stefano Travaglia Viktor Durasovic

1st Serve In %

56.6%

58.4%

1st Serve Points Won %

70.7%

68.9%

2nd Serve Points Won %

53.0%

49.5%

Return Points Won vs 1st Serve %

25.7%

29.5%

Return Points Won vs 2nd Serve %

50.6%

42.7%

Aces per Service Game

0.57

0.47

Double Faults per Service Game

0.27

0.21

Based on each player's last 10 ATP/Grand Slam matches.

1st Serve In %

56.9%

60.5%

1st Serve Points Won %

64.1%

67.8%

2nd Serve Points Won %

47.9%

45.0%

Return Points Won vs 1st Serve %

28.0%

32.0%

Return Points Won vs 2nd Serve %

55.4%

56.2%

Aces per Service Game

0.32

0.40

Double Faults per Service Game

0.28

0.14

Based on each player's last 10 Challenger matches.

Break Point Performance

How each player handles the biggest points - break points saved serving, and converted returning - from their last 10 matches at the selected level.

Stefano Travaglia Viktor Durasovic

Break Points Saved %

61.4%

55.1%

Break Points Converted %

38.9%

44.1%

Based on each player's last 10 ATP/Grand Slam matches.

Break Points Saved %

50.7%

57.1%

Break Points Converted %

37.7%

43.3%

Based on each player's last 10 Challenger matches.

Head-to-Head

Stefano Travaglia 2 – 1 Viktor Durasovic

Clay Skopje CH · 2025-05-19

R32

Viktor Durasovic #249

Stefano Travaglia #298

4-6 6-4 7-6(5)

4 Aces 4

3 Double Faults 3

95 Service Points 112

45 First Serve In 68

30 First Serve Won 46

28 Second Serve Won 24

2 Break Points Saved 7

6 Break Points Faced 11

- Winners -

- Unforced Errors -

- Average Odds -

Clay Geneva · 2023-05-22

Q2

Stefano Travaglia #282

Viktor Durasovic #319

6-4 6-2

4 Aces 1

4 Double Faults 2

64 Service Points 60

37 First Serve In 34

29 First Serve Won 17

13 Second Serve Won 13

5 Break Points Saved 4

6 Break Points Faced 8

- Winners -

- Unforced Errors -

- Average Odds -

Hard Atp Cup · 2020-01-06

RR

Stefano Travaglia #82

Viktor Durasovic #329

6-1 6-1

5 Aces 3

1 Double Faults 1

36 Service Points 44

17 First Serve In 21

15 First Serve Won 9

13 Second Serve Won 9

0 Break Points Saved 3

0 Break Points Faced 8

- Winners -

- Unforced Errors -

- Average Odds -

Stefano Travaglia vs Viktor Durasovic — Prediction

Why This Prediction?

Player Comparison

Performance vs. the Odds

Serve & Return

Break Point Performance

Head-to-Head

Stefano Travaglia — Last 10

Viktor Durasovic — Last 10