ATP tennis predict — Stefano Travaglia vs Valentin Royer

Challenger Hard Olbia challenger · R16 11:00

Predicted probability

Stefano Travaglia

Italy

25.80%

Valentin Royer

France

74.20%

Average Odds

3.26 / 1.31

Market probability

28.67% / 71.33%

Why This Prediction?

Valentin Royer is the favorite because he has a higher Elo rating (1832 vs 1687), a higher Elo rating on hard courts (1753 vs 1701) and a stronger return game (48.8% vs 39.5% of return points won).

Player Comparison

1687.3 Elo 1831.9

1700.9 Elo (surface) 1752.7

268 Wins (Challenger) 117

78 Wins (surface) 45

5 Last 15 form 12

0 Head-to-head wins 0

1.008 Dominance ratio 1.426

173 Rank 105

34.8 Age 25.4

right Hand right

Performance vs. the Odds

Career record grouped by how big a favorite the market made each player, based on their average odds.

Stefano Travaglia

Heavy favorite (odds below 1.30) 1W–2L · 33.3%

Favorite (odds 1.30-1.80) 5W–4L · 55.6%

Even match (odds 1.80-2.20) 2W–5L · 28.6%

Underdog (odds 2.20-4.00) 0W–2L · 0.0%

Heavy underdog (odds above 4.00) 1W–0L · 100.0%

22 matches with market odds since 2026-05-26.

Valentin Royer

Heavy favorite (odds below 1.30) 6W–0L · 100.0%

Favorite (odds 1.30-1.80) 5W–1L · 83.3%

Even match (odds 1.80-2.20) 1W–2L · 33.3%

Underdog (odds 2.20-4.00) 2W–6L · 25.0%

Heavy underdog (odds above 4.00) 0W–3L · 0.0%

26 matches with market odds since 2026-05-24.

Serve & Return

Serve and return win rates from each player's last 10 matches at the selected level.

Stefano Travaglia Valentin Royer

1st Serve In %

56.6%

60.6%

1st Serve Points Won %

70.7%

72.9%

2nd Serve Points Won %

53.0%

45.9%

Return Points Won vs 1st Serve %

25.7%

32.8%

Return Points Won vs 2nd Serve %

50.6%

46.9%

Aces per Service Game

0.57

0.51

Double Faults per Service Game

0.27

0.18

Based on each player's last 10 ATP/Grand Slam matches.

1st Serve In %

57.3%

63.7%

1st Serve Points Won %

63.0%

69.2%

2nd Serve Points Won %

50.3%

55.6%

Return Points Won vs 1st Serve %

28.6%

40.4%

Return Points Won vs 2nd Serve %

58.7%

59.5%

Aces per Service Game

0.34

0.43

Double Faults per Service Game

0.19

0.12

Based on each player's last 10 Challenger matches.

Break Point Performance

How each player handles the biggest points - break points saved serving, and converted returning - from their last 10 matches at the selected level.

Stefano Travaglia Valentin Royer

Break Points Saved %

61.4%

51.6%

Break Points Converted %

38.9%

37.1%

Based on each player's last 10 ATP/Grand Slam matches.

Break Points Saved %

43.5%

64.9%

Break Points Converted %

39.3%

44.4%

Based on each player's last 10 Challenger matches.

Head-to-Head

Stefano Travaglia and Valentin Royer have never played each other.

Stefano Travaglia vs Valentin Royer — Prediction