ATP tennis predict — Stefan Popovic vs Oleksii Krutykh

Challenger Clay Genoa challenger · qualification - 1. round 11:30

Predicted probability

Stefan Popovic

Serbia

30.07%

Oleksii Krutykh

Ukraine

69.93%

Average Odds

4.50 / 1.17

Market probability

20.63% / 79.37%

Why This Prediction?

Oleksii Krutykh is the favorite because he has a higher Elo rating on clay courts (1587 vs 1473), a higher Elo rating (1600 vs 1464) and more wins on clay courts (4 vs 0).

Player Comparison

1463.8 Elo 1599.7

1473.5 Elo (surface) 1587.1

9 Wins (Challenger) 104

9 Wins (surface) 77

7 Last 15 form 11

0 Head-to-head wins 0

1.091 Dominance ratio 0.987

630 Rank 448

23.3 Age 26.5

right Hand right

Performance vs. the Odds

Career record grouped by how big a favorite the market made each player, based on their average odds.

Stefan Popovic

Heavy favorite (odds below 1.30) 2W–0L · 100.0%

Favorite (odds 1.30-1.80) 0W–0L · 0.0%

Even match (odds 1.80-2.20) 0W–0L · 0.0%

Underdog (odds 2.20-4.00) 0W–2L · 0.0%

Heavy underdog (odds above 4.00) 0W–1L · 0.0%

5 matches with market odds since 2026-08-30.

Oleksii Krutykh

Heavy favorite (odds below 1.30) 5W–0L · 100.0%

Favorite (odds 1.30-1.80) 4W–2L · 66.7%

Even match (odds 1.80-2.20) 1W–0L · 100.0%

Underdog (odds 2.20-4.00) 0W–3L · 0.0%

Heavy underdog (odds above 4.00) 0W–0L · 0.0%

15 matches with market odds since 2026-08-02.

Serve & Return

Serve and return win rates from each player's last 10 matches at the selected level.

Stefan Popovic Oleksii Krutykh

1st Serve In %

—

58.0%

1st Serve Points Won %

—

67.7%

2nd Serve Points Won %

—

50.6%

Return Points Won vs 1st Serve %

—

25.9%

Return Points Won vs 2nd Serve %

—

54.9%

Aces per Service Game

—

0.21

Double Faults per Service Game

—

0.30

Based on each player's last 10 ATP/Grand Slam matches.

1st Serve In %

66.6%

57.0%

1st Serve Points Won %

64.1%

68.9%

2nd Serve Points Won %

50.0%

50.7%

Return Points Won vs 1st Serve %

34.8%

30.5%

Return Points Won vs 2nd Serve %

55.3%

47.4%

Aces per Service Game

0.18

0.30

Double Faults per Service Game

0.22

0.19

Based on each player's last 10 Challenger matches.

Break Point Performance

How each player handles the biggest points - break points saved serving, and converted returning - from their last 10 matches at the selected level.

Stefan Popovic Oleksii Krutykh

Break Points Saved %

—

56.1%

Break Points Converted %

—

34.2%

Based on each player's last 10 ATP/Grand Slam matches.

Break Points Saved %

54.3%

63.4%

Break Points Converted %

50.7%

45.5%

Based on each player's last 10 Challenger matches.

Head-to-Head

Stefan Popovic 0 – 0 Oleksii Krutykh

Clay Genoa challenger · 2026-09-06

qualification - 1. round

Oleksii Krutykh #448

Stefan Popovic #630

7-5 6-4

1 Aces 6

2 Double Faults 1

77 Service Points 65

39 First Serve In 32

23 First Serve Won 25

18 Second Serve Won 17

5 Break Points Saved 2

9 Break Points Faced 4

- Winners -

- Unforced Errors -

1.2 Average Odds 4.5

Stefan Popovic vs Oleksii Krutykh — Prediction